HOLTZ, JOHN
R Β· senate
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- FEC candidate id
S8WY00213- Internal id
0ccc9a97-e921-4ec1-89d5-47cd9b403ee0- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents (statewide)
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), Wyoming. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 582,397 |
| People | Median age | 39 |
| Income | Median household income | $76,176 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $42,668 |
| Income | In poverty | 10.5% |
| Income | Unemployed | 3.7% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.454 |
| Race | White alone | 84.5% |
| Race | Black alone | 0.9% |
| Race | Asian alone | 0.8% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 10.7% |
| Race | Two or more races | 8.3% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 3.5% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 93.2% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 4.8% |
| Education | High school or higher | 58.1% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 30.6% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 11.5% |
| Household | Family households | 61.8% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.34 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 28.1% |
| Housing | Median home value | $309,700 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $992 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 67.8% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 4.1% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.9% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 12.2% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 9.0% |
| Health | With a disability | 14.1% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 89.4% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 7.1% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 74.8% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.9% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 9.4% |
Elections
- 2018 general senate Β· WY-S β lost_general
- 2018 general senate Β· WY-S β lost_general
- 2018 general senate Β· WY-S β lost_general
- 2018 general senate Β· WY-S β lost_general
- 2020 general senate Β· WY-S β lost_general
- 2020 general senate Β· WY-S β lost_general
- 2020 general senate Β· WY-S β lost_general
- 2020 general senate Β· WY-S β lost_general
- 2024 general senate Β· WY-S β lost_general
- 2024 general senate Β· WY-S β lost_general
- 2024 general senate Β· WY-S β lost_general
- 2024 general senate Β· WY-S β lost_general
- 2024 general senate Β· WY-S β lost_general
Committees
No committees on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 23.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
| senate race | -2.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.