KINZINGER, ADAM
R Β· house Β· bioguide K000378
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- FEC candidate id
H0IL11052- Internal id
2778adf0-a4ae-4e21-b583-2f3abf63df8e- Status
- incumbent
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), IL-16. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 748,860 |
| People | Median age | 42 |
| Income | Median household income | $84,411 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $43,872 |
| Income | In poverty | 8.2% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.5% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.427 |
| Race | White alone | 86.0% |
| Race | Black alone | 2.5% |
| Race | Asian alone | 2.5% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 7.3% |
| Race | Two or more races | 6.8% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 4.7% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 92.8% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 3.9% |
| Education | High school or higher | 61.2% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 31.6% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 11.2% |
| Household | Family households | 66.5% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.43 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 27.0% |
| Housing | Median home value | $200,500 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,020 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 79.4% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 5.0% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.3% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 7.5% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 6.9% |
| Health | With a disability | 12.0% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 90.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 7.1% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 78.8% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.3% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 11.4% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $2,601,538 | $1,710,183 | $2,415,005 | $0 | $1,241,034 |
| 2020 | $2,115,267 | $1,598,081 | $1,523,650 | $0 | $652,764 |
| 2018 | $1,842,505 | $2,313,860 | $1,006,464 | $0 | $460,999 |
| 2016 | $1,835,620 | $1,024,440 | $1,477,819 | $0 | $628,105 |
| 2014 | $1,944,119 | $1,377,467 | $666,640 | $0 | $781,163 |
| 2012 | $2,034,419 | $1,972,830 | $99,988 | $0 | $1,019,222 |
| 2010 | $1,881,629 | $1,827,192 | $38,398 | $27,500 | $1,342,045 |
Elections
- 2010 general house Β· IL-11 β won
- 2010 general house Β· IL-16 β running
- 2012 general house Β· IL-16 β won
- 2014 general house Β· IL-16 β won
- 2016 general house Β· IL-16 β won
- 2018 general house Β· IL-16 β won
- 2020 general house Β· IL-16 β won
- 2022 general house Β· IL-16 β won
Committees
- 2015 SXSW GOP COMMITTEE β joint_fundraising Β· type H
- COUNTRY OVER PARTY PAC β independent Β· type N
- COUNTRY OVER PARTY PAC β principal Β· type N
- ILLINOIS HOUSE REPUBLICAN FRESHMEN β joint_fundraising Β· type H
- ILLINOIS MAJORITY FUND β joint_fundraising Β· type N
- SURGE VICTORY COMMITTEE β joint_fundraising Β· type H
- TEXAS OPPORTUNITY PARTNERSHIP β joint_fundraising Β· type H
- YOUNG GUNS VICTORY FUND III β joint_fundraising Β· type H
Recent votes
No votes on file.
Sponsored & cosponsored bills
No sponsorships on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 99.0%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| incumbent | +78.0% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $0 | $22,917 | 3 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-06-02 | DRAIN THE DC SWAMP PAC | oppose | $6,250 | Digital Advertising |
| 2021-05-28 | DRAIN THE DC SWAMP PAC | oppose | $10,000 | Digital Advertising |
| 2021-03-24 | DRAIN THE DC SWAMP PAC | oppose | $6,667 | Digital Advertising |
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
Connected on the graph
Inbound (100)
Outbound (8)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | independent_committee_of | COUNTRY OVER PARTY PAC | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | YOUNG GUNS VICTORY FUND III | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | ILLINOIS MAJORITY FUND | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | 2015 SXSW GOP COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | ILLINOIS HOUSE REPUBLICAN FRESHMEN | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | TEXAS OPPORTUNITY PARTNERSHIP | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | SURGE VICTORY COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | COUNTRY OVER PARTY PAC | β | candidate_committees |