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LAUF, CATALINA

R Β· house

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FEC candidate id
H0IL14197
Internal id
afbdb91a-536c-4320-a4d7-bb2ead3eb966
Status
challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), IL-14. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation763,833
PeopleMedian age37
IncomeMedian household income$95,523
IncomePer-capita income$42,848
IncomeIn poverty9.2%
IncomeUnemployed5.2%
IncomeGini inequality index0.426
RaceWhite alone61.9%
RaceBlack alone9.2%
RaceAsian alone5.5%
RaceHispanic or Latino23.9%
RaceTwo or more races14.3%
OriginForeign-born13.5%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home75.9%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home16.6%
EducationHigh school or higher60.4%
EducationBachelor's or higher34.2%
EducationAdvanced degree12.9%
HouseholdFamily households71.0%
HouseholdAvg household size2.76
HouseholdNever married (15+)34.9%
HousingMedian home value$280,800
HousingMedian gross rent$1,263
HousingSingle-family detached71.5%
HousingBuilt before 19403.3%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)2.4%
HousingVacant units4.7%
ServiceVeterans (18+)4.8%
HealthWith a disability10.4%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband93.3%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet4.7%
CommuteDrove alone74.6%
CommutePublic transit1.3%
CommuteWorked from home12.9%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

CycleRaisedSpentCash on handDebtsIndiv. contribs.
2020$355,048$355,048$0$0$344,802

Elections

Committees

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
R (major party)+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

DateFrom committeeTypeAmount
2022-11-05CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION24E$78
2022-11-03CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION24E$7,266
2022-11-03CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION24E$100
2022-10-27CLUB FOR GROWTH PAC24E$750
2022-10-26CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION24E$20
2022-10-25FOUNDATIONS PAC24K$500
2022-10-24RESTORATION OF AMERICA PAC24E$5,828
2022-10-19CLUB FOR GROWTH PAC24E$1,503
2022-10-19CLUB FOR GROWTH PAC24E$1,049
2022-10-17CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION24E$132,461
2022-10-14CLUB FOR GROWTH PAC24E$14
2022-10-14CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION24E$157
2022-10-14CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION24E$14
2022-10-14CLUB FOR GROWTH PAC24E$8
2022-10-13RESTORATION OF AMERICA PAC24E$20,382
2022-10-12CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION24E$117,539
2022-10-10CLUB FOR GROWTH PAC24E$657
2022-10-10CLUB FOR GROWTH PAC24E$938
2022-10-07CLUB FOR GROWTH PAC24E$15
2022-10-06RESTORATION OF AMERICA PAC24E$15,000
2021-08-12JUSTICE FREEDOM & LIBERTY PAC24K$2,500

Connected on the graph

Inbound (21)

datefromtypeamountrolesource
2022-11-05CLUB FOR GROWTHcontributed_to$78pas2
2022-11-03CLUB FOR GROWTHcontributed_to$100pas2
2022-11-03CLUB FOR GROWTHcontributed_to$7,266pas2
2022-10-27CLUB FOR GROWTH PACcontributed_to$750pas2
2022-10-26CLUB FOR GROWTHcontributed_to$20pas2
2022-10-25FOUNDATIONS PACcontributed_to$500pas2
2022-10-24RESTORATION OF AMERICA PACcontributed_to$5,828pas2
2022-10-19CLUB FOR GROWTH PACcontributed_to$1,503pas2
2022-10-19CLUB FOR GROWTH PACcontributed_to$1,049pas2
2022-10-17CLUB FOR GROWTHcontributed_to$132,461pas2
2022-10-14CLUB FOR GROWTHcontributed_to$157pas2
2022-10-14CLUB FOR GROWTH PACcontributed_to$8pas2
2022-10-14CLUB FOR GROWTH PACcontributed_to$14pas2
2022-10-14CLUB FOR GROWTHcontributed_to$14pas2
2022-10-13RESTORATION OF AMERICA PACcontributed_to$20,382pas2
2022-10-12CLUB FOR GROWTHcontributed_to$117,539pas2
2022-10-10CLUB FOR GROWTH PACcontributed_to$657pas2
2022-10-10CLUB FOR GROWTH PACcontributed_to$938pas2
2022-10-07CLUB FOR GROWTH PACcontributed_to$15pas2
2022-10-06RESTORATION OF AMERICA PACcontributed_to$15,000pas2
2021-08-12JUSTICE FREEDOM & LIBERTY PACcontributed_to$2,500pas2

Outbound (1)

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β€”principal_candidate_ofCATALINA FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEEβ€”candidate_committees

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