SMITH, CLINT WILLIAM
I Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H2AZ05173- Internal id
f99ee21a-4f18-4680-951a-65621f60deea- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), AZ-05. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 840,221 |
| People | Median age | 39 |
| Income | Median household income | $109,252 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $49,753 |
| Income | In poverty | 6.3% |
| Income | Unemployed | 3.8% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.418 |
| Race | White alone | 70.8% |
| Race | Black alone | 3.5% |
| Race | Asian alone | 5.9% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 18.5% |
| Race | Two or more races | 13.7% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 9.9% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 85.0% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 8.2% |
| Education | High school or higher | 61.3% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 40.8% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 15.1% |
| Household | Family households | 74.3% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.79 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 27.6% |
| Housing | Median home value | $498,900 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $2,032 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 77.3% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 0.2% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.2% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 8.2% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 7.7% |
| Health | With a disability | 11.7% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 95.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 2.8% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 64.2% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.3% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 24.0% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $48,705 | $48,705 | $0 | $0 | $46,205 |
| 2022 | $197,483 | $197,483 | $0 | $0 | $182,733 |
Elections
Committees
- CLINT SMITH FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 15.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $0 | $13,628 | 2 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-24 | TURNING POINT PAC INC. | oppose | $1,404 | PRINTING |
| 2022-10-05 | TURNING POINT PAC INC. | oppose | $12,224 | TEXT SERVICES/PRINTING/POSTAGE |
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-27 | FORWARD PARTY | 24K | $5,000 |
| 2022-10-24 | TURNING POINT PAC INC. | 24A | $1,403 |
| 2022-10-18 | UA UNION PLUMBERS & PIPEFITTERS VOTE! PAC (UNIT⦠| 24K | $5,000 |
| 2022-10-05 | TURNING POINT PAC INC. | 24A | $12,223 |
| 2022-06-06 | COUNTRY FIRST | 24K | $2,500 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (7)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-27 | FORWARD PARTY | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-24 | TURNING POINT PAC INC. | contributed_to | $1,403 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-24 | TURNING POINT PAC INC. | opposes_independently | $1,404 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-10-18 | UA UNION PLUMBERS & PIPEFITTERS VOTE! PAC (UNITED ASSOCIATION OF JOURNEYMEN AND APPRENTICES OF THE PLUMBING & PIPEFITTING INDUSTRY OF THE UNITED STATES AND CANADA) | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-05 | TURNING POINT PAC INC. | opposes_independently | $12,224 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-10-05 | TURNING POINT PAC INC. | contributed_to | $12,223 | pas2 | |
| 2022-06-06 | COUNTRY FIRST | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | CLINT SMITH FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |