PEKAU, KEITH

R · house

FEC candidate id: H2IL06116
Internal id: 19df4db9-233b-4e0c-a6c7-d2f797a299af
Status: challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), IL-06. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	747,517
People	Median age	41
Income	Median household income	$99,953
Income	Per-capita income	$53,444
Income	In poverty	7.5%
Income	Unemployed	5.1%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.463
Race	White alone	72.4%
Race	Black alone	5.1%
Race	Asian alone	6.1%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	16.1%
Race	Two or more races	10.7%
Origin	Foreign-born	16.0%
Language	Speaks English only at home	73.6%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	10.4%
Education	High school or higher	66.4%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	44.2%
Education	Advanced degree	17.6%
Household	Family households	65.9%
Household	Avg household size	2.51
Household	Never married (15+)	31.3%
Housing	Median home value	$341,500
Housing	Median gross rent	$1,480
Housing	Single-family detached	60.1%
Housing	Built before 1940	4.6%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	2.0%
Housing	Vacant units	4.8%
Service	Veterans (18+)	4.2%
Health	With a disability	10.4%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	93.2%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	5.0%
Commute	Drove alone	69.0%
Commute	Public transit	4.5%
Commute	Worked from home	17.6%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2026	$0	$1,175	$0	$11,652	$0
2024	$11,749	$13,850	$1,175	$101,552	$-1
2022	$1,514,693	$1,511,416	$3,277	$91,802	$1,087,716

Elections

2022 general house · IL-6 — lost_general

Committees

PEKAU FOR CONGRESS — principal · type H
PEKAU FOR IL-06 — principal · type H

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
R (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

Cycle	Support	Oppose	IEs
2022	$145,579	$851,782	17

Recent (latest 25)

Date	Spender	For / against	Amount	Purpose
—	HMP	oppose	$9,168	Media Production - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$19,180	Direct Mail - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$575,225	Television Advertising - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$198,950	Television Advertising - Estimate
—	RESTORE AMERICA DREAM PAC	oppose	$30,000	Postage
—	RESTORE AMERICA DREAM PAC	oppose	$1,800	Video Advertising Communication
—	RESTORE AMERICA DREAM PAC	oppose	$1,695	Postage
—	RESTORE AMERICA DREAM PAC	oppose	$250	Estimated cost of Mobile Text Communication
—	RESTORE AMERICA DREAM PAC	oppose	$250	Estimated cost of Mobile Text Communication
—	RESTORE AMERICA DREAM PAC	oppose	$10,978	Direct Mail Services
2022-10-24	RESTORATION OF AMERICA PAC	support	$3,250	Direct mail
2022-10-13	RESTORATION OF AMERICA PAC	support	$27,329	Digital advertising (production and placement)
2022-10-06	RESTORATION OF AMERICA PAC	support	$15,000	Digital advertising (production and placement)
2022-06-17	RESTORE AMERICA DREAM PAC	oppose	$206	Mobile Text Communication
2022-06-17	RESTORE AMERICA DREAM PAC	oppose	$1,080	Radio Advertisement Expense
2022-06-16	RESTORATION OF AMERICA PAC	support	$100,000	Television advertising (placement and production)
2022-06-11	RESTORE AMERICA DREAM PAC	oppose	$3,000	Website Development

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2022-12-21	WINRED	24K	$-5
2022-12-10	WINRED	24K	$0
2022-12-06	WINRED	24K	$-3
2022-12-06	WINRED	24K	$-3
2022-12-06	WINRED	24K	$-3
2022-12-06	WINRED	24K	$-3
2022-12-05	WINRED	24K	$0
2022-11-30	WINRED	24K	$-8
2022-11-17	WINRED	24K	$-3
2022-11-17	WINRED	24K	$-8
2022-11-11	WINRED	24K	$-8
2022-11-11	WINRED	24K	$-8
2022-11-08	NATIONAL EDUCATION ASSOCIATION	24N	$5,262
2022-11-08	WINRED	24K	$-500
2022-11-07	GARY PALMER FOR CONGRESS	24K	$1,000
2022-11-07	MAKING AMERICA PROSPEROUS PAC	24K	$2,500
2022-11-07	HMP	24A	$9,167
2022-11-04	ASSOCIATED EQUIPMENT DISTRIBUTORS POLITICAL ACT…	24K	$-2,500
2022-11-04	ASSOCIATED EQUIPMENT DISTRIBUTORS POLITICAL ACT…	24K	$2,500
2022-11-04	FOUNDATIONS PAC	24K	$500
2022-11-03	WINRED	24K	$0
2022-11-02	BLAINE FOR CONGRESS	24K	$2,000
2022-11-02	ON WISCONSIN PAC, INC.	24K	$2,500
2022-11-02	HMP	24A	$198,950
2022-11-01	HMP	24A	$575,225

Connected on the graph

Inbound (100)

date	from	type	amount	source
—	RESTORE AMERICA DREAM PAC	opposes_independently	$250	fec_ies
—	RESTORE AMERICA DREAM PAC	opposes_independently	$1,800	fec_ies
—	RESTORE AMERICA DREAM PAC	opposes_independently	$1,695	fec_ies
—	RESTORE AMERICA DREAM PAC	opposes_independently	$250	fec_ies
—	RESTORE AMERICA DREAM PAC	opposes_independently	$10,978	fec_ies
—	RESTORE AMERICA DREAM PAC	opposes_independently	$30,000	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$19,180	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$575,225	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$198,950	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$9,168	fec_ies
2022-12-21	WINRED	contributed_to	$-5	pas2
2022-12-10	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-12-06	WINRED	contributed_to	$-3	pas2
2022-12-06	WINRED	contributed_to	$-3	pas2
2022-12-06	WINRED	contributed_to	$-3	pas2
2022-12-06	WINRED	contributed_to	$-3	pas2
2022-12-05	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-11-30	WINRED	contributed_to	$-8	pas2
2022-11-17	WINRED	contributed_to	$-3	pas2
2022-11-17	WINRED	contributed_to	$-8	pas2
2022-11-11	WINRED	contributed_to	$-8	pas2
2022-11-11	WINRED	contributed_to	$-8	pas2
2022-11-08	WINRED	contributed_to	$-500	pas2
2022-11-08	NATIONAL EDUCATION ASSOCIATION	contributed_to	$5,262	pas2
2022-11-07	HMP	contributed_to	$9,167	pas2
2022-11-07	MAKING AMERICA PROSPEROUS PAC	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-11-07	GARY PALMER FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-11-04	FOUNDATIONS PAC	contributed_to	$500	pas2
2022-11-04	ASSOCIATED EQUIPMENT DISTRIBUTORS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$-2,500	pas2
2022-11-04	ASSOCIATED EQUIPMENT DISTRIBUTORS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-11-03	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-11-02	ON WISCONSIN PAC, INC.	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-11-02	BLAINE FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-11-02	HMP	contributed_to	$198,950	pas2
2022-11-01	SEAL PAC SUPPORTING ELECTING AMERICAN LEADERS PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-11-01	VICTORY AND FREEDOM PAC (VAF PAC)	contributed_to	$3,000	pas2
2022-11-01	HMP	contributed_to	$575,225	pas2
2022-11-01	HMP	contributed_to	$19,180	pas2
2022-10-28	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-10-27	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-10-26	BUILD POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE OF THE NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF HOME BUILDERS (BUILDPAC)	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-10-26	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-10-26	WINRED	contributed_to	$-3,900	pas2
2022-10-26	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF MUTUAL INSURANCE COMPANIES PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-10-26	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-10-24	RESTORATION OF AMERICA PAC	supports_independently	$3,250	fec_ies
2022-10-24	RESTORATION OF AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$3,250	pas2
2022-10-24	BUILDING OPPORTUNITIES FOR A STRONGER TOMORROW B.O.S.T. PAC	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-10-24	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-10-24	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-10-22	REPUBLICANS UNITED TO DEFEND YOU PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-10-22	GUARDIAN POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$722	pas2
2022-10-20	NATIONAL PRO-LIFE ALLIANCE PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-10-20	NATIONAL EDUCATION ASSOCIATION	contributed_to	$3,330	pas2
2022-10-19	NATIONAL EDUCATION ASSOCIATION	contributed_to	$677	pas2
2022-10-17	NATIONAL RIFLE ASSOCIATION INSTITUTE FOR LEGISLATIVE ACTION	contributed_to	$693	pas2
2022-10-17	WINRED	contributed_to	$-400	pas2
2022-10-17	NATIONAL RIFLE ASSOCIATION INSTITUTE FOR LEGISLATIVE ACTION	contributed_to	$1,796	pas2
2022-10-17	ASSOCIATED EQUIPMENT DISTRIBUTORS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-10-17	WINRED	contributed_to	$-3	pas2
2022-10-16	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-10-13	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-10-13	RESTORATION OF AMERICA PAC	supports_independently	$27,329	fec_ies
2022-10-13	RESTORATION OF AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$27,328	pas2
2022-10-12	NATIONAL EDUCATION ASSOCIATION	contributed_to	$3,330	pas2
2022-10-11	INVEST IN A STRONG AND SECURE AMERICA	contributed_to	$500	pas2
2022-10-10	NATIONAL FEDERATION OF INDEPENDENT BUSINESS FEDERAL POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-10-06	RESTORATION OF AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$15,000	pas2
2022-10-06	RESTORATION OF AMERICA PAC	supports_independently	$15,000	fec_ies
2022-10-03	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-10-03	WINRED	contributed_to	$-1,000	pas2
2022-10-02	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-09-28	INTERNATIONAL FRANCHISE ASSOCIATION FRANCHISING POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE INC	contributed_to	$1,500	pas2
2022-09-28	NATIONAL AUTOMOBILE DEALERS ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-09-27	NATIONAL STONE, SAND & GRAVEL ASSOCIATION ROCKPAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-09-26	HAGEMAN FOR WYOMING	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-09-26	BE VICTORIOUS OVER DEMOCRATS PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-09-26	KELLY FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-09-22	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-09-19	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-09-14	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-09-13	NATIONAL RIFLE ASSOCIATION OF AMERICA POLITICAL VICTORY FUND	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-09-12	NRCC	contributed_to	$103,000	pas2
2022-09-12	OLD NATIONAL BANK PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-09-10	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-09-08	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-09-08	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-09-07	MIKE JOHNSON FOR LOUISIANA	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-08-30	INDEPENDENT INSURANCE AGENTS & BROKERS OF AMERICA, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (INSURPAC)	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-08-26	CLF	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-08-26	CLF	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-08-26	FIGHT ON PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-08-25	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-08-16	VICTORY AND FREEDOM PAC (VAF PAC)	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-08-15	BULLDOG PAC	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-08-11	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-08-09	JOY PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-08-08	ABRAHAM LINCOLN LEADERSHIP POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-08-08	LAHOOD FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-08-01	ASSOCIATED EQUIPMENT DISTRIBUTORS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2

Outbound (2)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	PEKAU FOR CONGRESS	—		candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	PEKAU FOR IL-06	—		candidate_committees

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