CAREY, MIKE
R · house · currently seated · bioguide C001126
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- FEC candidate id
H2OH15228- Internal id
d3032ba6-295c-4e78-a218-a1b22af2d53d- Status
- incumbent
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), OH-15. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 794,565 |
| People | Median age | 37 |
| Income | Median household income | $78,358 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $41,090 |
| Income | In poverty | 12.2% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.2% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.431 |
| Race | White alone | 73.1% |
| Race | Black alone | 11.8% |
| Race | Asian alone | 4.2% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 6.7% |
| Race | Two or more races | 7.8% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 9.1% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 87.8% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 4.4% |
| Education | High school or higher | 63.4% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 33.5% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 12.3% |
| Household | Family households | 63.1% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.44 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 33.0% |
| Housing | Median home value | $247,700 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,272 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 63.7% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 3.1% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.2% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 5.9% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 6.4% |
| Health | With a disability | 13.0% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 93.4% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 4.8% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 73.5% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.7% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 15.5% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $2,567,314 | $1,206,609 | $1,522,000 | $0 | $665,329 |
| 2024 | $2,699,201 | $2,616,523 | $161,294 | $0 | $918,127 |
| 2022 | $2,363,799 | $2,285,183 | $78,616 | $0 | $1,380,932 |
Elections
- 2022 general house · OH-15 — won
- 2024 general house · OH-15 — won
- 2026 general house · OH-15 — running
Committees
- CAREY FOR CONGRESS — principal · type H
Recent votes
- 2026-05-15 · Cong. 119 · house roll 175
YEA on HR 8469 — Making appropriations for military construction, the Department of Veterans Affairs, and related agencies for the fiscal year ending September 30, 2027, and for other purposes. - 2026-05-15 · Cong. 119 · house roll 174
NAY on HR 8469 — Making appropriations for military construction, the Department of Veterans Affairs, and related agencies for the fiscal year ending September 30, 2027, and for other purposes. - 2026-05-14 · Cong. 119 · house roll 173
YEA on HR 8365 — Monitor Accountability Act - 2026-05-14 · Cong. 119 · house roll 172
NAY on HR 8365 — Monitor Accountability Act - 2026-05-14 · Cong. 119 · house roll 171
YEA on HR 5625 — Cashless Bail Reporting Act - 2026-05-14 · Cong. 119 · house roll 170
NAY on HCONRES 75 — Directing the President, pursuant to section 5(c) of the War Powers Resolution, to remove the United States Armed Forces from hostilities against the Islamic Republic of Iran. - 2026-05-14 · Cong. 119 · house roll 169
YEA on HR 6260 — Keeping Violent Offenders Off Our Streets Act of 2025 - 2026-05-14 · Cong. 119 · house roll 168
NAY on HR 6260 — Keeping Violent Offenders Off Our Streets Act of 2025 - 2026-05-13 · Cong. 119 · house roll 167
YEA on HRES 1259 — Expressing the sense of the House of Representatives that the President should prioritize securing the release of Pastor Jin Mingri, Pastor Gao Quanfu and his wife Pang Yu, Dr. Gulshan Abbas, and Jimmy Lai detained by the People's Republic of China during future engagements with Chinese President Xi Jinping. - 2026-05-13 · Cong. 119 · house roll 166
YEA on HRES 1251 — Calling on elected officials and civil society leaders to counter antisemitism and educate the public on the contributions of the Jewish-American community.
Sponsored & cosponsored bills
- cosponsor · 2026-02-04 — HR 4669 — FEMA Act of 2025
- cosponsor · 2026-01-30 — HR 7300 — Make Elections Great Again Act
- cosponsor · 2026-01-21 — HR 7184 — PRESS Act
- cosponsor · 2025-12-09 — HR 1628 — 761st Tank Battalion Congressional Gold Medal Act
- cosponsor · 2025-11-18 — HR 5267 — American Franchise Act
- sponsor · 2025-06-26 — HR 4160 — Veterans Border Patrol Training Act
- cosponsor · 2025-05-14 — HR 3418 — Historic Preservation Fund Reauthorization Act
- cosponsor · 2025-04-17 — HR 2555 — Freedom of Association in Higher Education Act of 2025
- cosponsor · 2024-08-09 — HR 7577 — CHEERS Act
- cosponsor · 2023-11-28 — HR 6285 — Alaska’s Right to Produce Act of 2023
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 99.0%
| Feature | Δ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| incumbent | +78.0% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $3,503 | $0 | 4 |
| 2022 | $506,738 | $318,565 | 26 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | DEFEND US PAC | support | $9,956 | Direct Mailer |
| — | PROTECT FREEDOM POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | oppose | $10,000 | Live Calls |
| 2024-10-31 | NATIONAL RIGHT TO LIFE VICTORY FUND | support | $1,192 | IE-Carey-Mail |
| 2024-10-21 | NATIONAL RIGHT TO LIFE VICTORY FUND | support | $1,116 | IE-Carey-Mail |
| 2024-10-01 | NATIONAL RIFLE ASSOCIATION OF AMERICA POLITICAL… | support | $1,146 | PRINTING / POSTAGE |
| 2024-10-01 | NATIONAL RIFLE ASSOCIATION OF AMERICA POLITICAL… | support | $49 | PRINTING / POSTAGE |
| 2021-10-26 | DEFEND US PAC | support | $14,950 | Digital Advertising |
| 2021-10-22 | FREEDOM'S DEFENSE FUND | support | $15,000 | Digital Marketing |
| 2021-10-19 | OHIO REPUBLICAN PARTY STATE CENTRAL & EXECUTIVE… | support | $3,197 | DIGITAL ADVERTISING |
| 2021-10-19 | OHIO REPUBLICAN PARTY STATE CENTRAL & EXECUTIVE… | support | $6,503 | BROADCAST ADVERTISING |
| 2021-10-13 | FREEDOM'S DEFENSE FUND | support | $15,000 | Digital Marketing |
| 2021-10-12 | CENTER FOR CIVIC INFORMATION | oppose | $12,395 | Yard Sign Printing (Estimate) |
| 2021-10-12 | CENTER FOR CIVIC INFORMATION | oppose | $22,250 | Sign Placement Services (Estimate) |
| 2021-10-12 | CENTER FOR CIVIC INFORMATION | oppose | $1,000 | Sign Design (Estimate) |
| 2021-08-03 | MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN ACTION INC | support | $1,079 | GOTV PHONE CALLS |
| 2021-08-02 | MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN ACTION INC | support | $2,172 | GOTV PHONE CALLS |
| 2021-07-29 | SEAL PAC SUPPORTING ELECTING AMERICAN LEADERS P… | support | $25,000 | Digital Advertising |
| 2021-07-29 | MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN ACTION INC | support | $54,000 | SMS TEXT MESSAGING |
| 2021-07-29 | MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN ACTION INC | support | $11,800 | EMAIL PROGRAM |
| 2021-07-28 | CONSERVATIVE OUTSIDER PAC INC | oppose | $9,975 | RADIO AD PLACEMENT |
| 2021-07-28 | CONSERVATIVE OUTSIDER PAC INC | oppose | $2,500 | RADIO AD PRODUCTION |
| 2021-07-27 | MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN ACTION INC | support | $9,000 | PRODUCTION COST: TV AND DIGITAL ADS |
| 2021-07-27 | MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN ACTION INC | support | $25,000 | DIGITAL ADVERTISING |
| 2021-07-27 | MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN ACTION INC | support | $306,281 | PLACED MEDIA: TV |
| 2021-07-27 | MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN ACTION INC | support | $7,800 | SMS TEXT MESSAGING |
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
Top individual donors (2026 cycle)
Via this candidate's principal committee CAREY FOR CONGRESS.
Aggregated from FEC Schedule A by donor (name + city + state). Employer + occupation reflect the donor's most recent gift. Source: FEC indiv bulk.
| Donor | Employer / occupation | City, ST | Gifts | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DUNCAN, EMILY J. | AMERICAN ELECTRIC POWER · GOVERNMENT AFFAIRS | WASHINGTON, DC | 2 | $2,500 |
| MOORE, JOE | AEP · EXECUTIVE | WAUKEE, IA | 1 | $2,500 |
| MILLER, JOSHUA | KEYSTATE · EXECUTIVE | LAS VEGAS, NV | 1 | $1,000 |
| WHITLATCH, BRIAN | AEP · SALES | COLUMBUS, OH | 1 | $1,000 |
| MORRIS, JOSH | NOVOGRADAC COMPANY LLP · ACCOUNTANT | ORRVILLE, OH | 1 | $1,000 |
| ECKERT, JOHANNES | AEP · CIO CTO | COLUMBUS, OH | 1 | $1,000 |
| BURBURE, STACEY | AMERICAN ELECTRIC POWER · SVP | POWELL, OH | 1 | $1,000 |
| BARHORST, MICHELLE R. | NONE · HOMEMAKER | MINSTER, OH | 1 | $1,000 |
| FUNK, JOHN | LODESTAR ENERGY · MANAGER | NEW YORK, NY | 1 | $1,000 |
| HAMILL, ROBERT | AMERICAN ELECTRIC POWER · FEDERAL AFFAIRS | WASHINGTON, DC | 1 | $1,000 |
| HALLAWAY, RASHID | VENTURE GOVERNMENT STRATEGIES, LLC · PARTNER | CHARLOTTE, NC | 1 | $500 |
| BLAIR, CLINTON | AMERICAN HONDA MOTOR · LOBBYIST | WASHINGTON, DC | 1 | $500 |
| CHRISTIAN, KAREN | AKIN GUMP STRAUSS HAUER FELD · ATTORNEY | ALEXANDRIA, VA | 1 | $500 |
| FERNEAU, KELLY | AEP · EXECUTIVE | BENTON HARBOR, MI | 1 | $500 |
| SHERRICK, BRIAN | AMERICAN ELECTRIC POWER · SVP SHARED SERVICES | ORIENT, OH | 1 | $500 |
| WOLF, MARK | AMERICAN ELECTRIC PWER · VP AUDIT SERVICES | COLUMBUS, OH | 1 | $500 |
| CLAIBORNE, WALTER H III | SELF EMPLOYED · REAL ESTATE | BATCHELOR, LA | 1 | $200 |
| DOUGLASS, DONALD J RET | NONE · RETIRED | CAPE CANAVERAL, FL | 1 | $50 |
| WOODS, DIANE K JR | NONE · RETIRED MILITARY | NEW BRAUNFELS, TX | 1 | $50 |
| HOFFMAN, TAEKO O | NONE · RETIRED | SANTA BARBARA, CA | 1 | $50 |
| MAGNUSSEN, JAMES R MD | NONE · RETIRED | GALLIPOLIS, OH | 1 | $35 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (100)
Outbound (19)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | principal_candidate_of | CAREY FOR CONGRESS | — | candidate_committees | |
| 2026-02-04 | cosponsor_of_bill | HR 4669 — FEMA Act of 2025 | — | cosponsor | sponsorship |
| 2026-01-30 | cosponsor_of_bill | HR 7300 — Make Elections Great Again Act | — | cosponsor | sponsorship |
| 2026-01-21 | cosponsor_of_bill | HR 7184 — PRESS Act | — | cosponsor | sponsorship |
| 2025-12-09 | cosponsor_of_bill | HR 1628 — 761st Tank Battalion Congressional Gold Medal Act | — | cosponsor | sponsorship |
| 2025-11-18 | cosponsor_of_bill | HR 5267 — American Franchise Act | — | cosponsor | sponsorship |
| 2025-06-26 | sponsor_of_bill | HR 4160 — Veterans Border Patrol Training Act | — | sponsor | sponsorship |
| 2025-05-14 | cosponsor_of_bill | HR 3418 — Historic Preservation Fund Reauthorization Act | — | cosponsor | sponsorship |
| 2025-04-17 | cosponsor_of_bill | HR 2555 — Freedom of Association in Higher Education Act of 2025 | — | cosponsor | sponsorship |
| 2025-01-03 | member_of_committee | House Committee on House Administration | — | MEMBER | congress-committee |
| 2025-01-03 | member_of_committee | House Ways and Means Committee | — | MEMBER | congress-committee |
| 2025-01-03 | member_of_committee | House Modernization and Innovation Subcommittee | — | MEMBER | congress-committee |
| 2025-01-03 | member_of_committee | House Budget Committee | — | MEMBER | congress-committee |
| 2025-01-03 | member_of_committee | House Social Security Subcommittee | — | MEMBER | congress-committee |
| 2025-01-03 | member_of_committee | House Work and Welfare Subcommittee | — | MEMBER | congress-committee |
| 2024-08-09 | cosponsor_of_bill | HR 7577 — CHEERS Act | — | cosponsor | sponsorship |
| 2023-11-28 | cosponsor_of_bill | HR 6285 — Alaska’s Right to Produce Act of 2023 | — | cosponsor | sponsorship |
| 2023-05-11 | cosponsor_of_bill | HR 3238 — Affordable Housing Credit Improvement Act of 2023 | — | cosponsor | sponsorship |
| 2023-02-17 | sponsor_of_bill | HR 1069 — Clean Energy Demonstration Transparency Act of 2023 | — | sponsor | sponsorship |