NEZ, JONATHAN MICHAEL
D · house
Sign in to add to a watchlist →
- FEC candidate id
H4AZ02184- Internal id
021d55f5-44aa-4e55-9f84-60c0ccd0a702- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), AZ-02. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 826,257 |
| People | Median age | 42 |
| Income | Median household income | $67,729 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $34,854 |
| Income | In poverty | 16.6% |
| Income | Unemployed | 6.3% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.458 |
| Race | White alone | 58.5% |
| Race | Black alone | 2.4% |
| Race | Asian alone | 1.3% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 18.2% |
| Race | Two or more races | 12.4% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 5.7% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 78.8% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 8.8% |
| Education | High school or higher | 53.4% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 26.2% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 10.2% |
| Household | Family households | 64.8% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.49 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 33.2% |
| Housing | Median home value | $345,300 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,254 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 70.0% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 1.2% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 5.1% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 18.8% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 8.9% |
| Health | With a disability | 16.7% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 85.4% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 11.3% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 69.5% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.5% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 13.8% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $2,341,970 | $1,011,172 | $1,396,101 | $0 | $2,146,664 |
| 2024 | $5,522,850 | $5,457,626 | $65,176 | $0 | $5,320,391 |
Elections
Committees
- JONATHAN NEZ FOR CONGRESS — principal · type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Δ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $0 | $51,157 | 2 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-01 | HOUSE FREEDOM ACTION | oppose | $21,179 | IE- NEZ- MEDIA BUY |
| 2024-10-24 | HOUSE FREEDOM ACTION | oppose | $29,978 | IE- NEZ- RADIO & TV MARKETING |
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
Top individual donors (2026 cycle)
Via this candidate's principal committee JONATHAN NEZ FOR CONGRESS.
Aggregated from FEC Schedule A by donor (name + city + state). Employer + occupation reflect the donor's most recent gift. Source: FEC indiv bulk.
| Donor | Employer / occupation | City, ST | Gifts | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MEEHAN, DAVID | LVPG · PHYSICIAN | ALLENTOWN, PA | 2 | $6,500 |
| JAMESTOWN S'KLALLAM TRIBE | — | SEQUIM, WA | 1 | $2,000 |
| MANSOUR, NICK J. | BRANNER PARTNERS · MANAGER | PHOENIX, AZ | 1 | $1,500 |
| HARTZELL, JULIANNE | NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED | FLAGSTAFF, AZ | 3 | $1,025 |
| VILLERS, KATHERINE | NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED | CONCORD, MA | 1 | $1,000 |
| MURPHY, MIKE | NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED | SAN JOSE, CA | 1 | $1,000 |
| CADDEN, WENDYN | NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED | LAS VEGAS, NM | 1 | $1,000 |
| KINGSLEY MD, BRUCE | VALLEY ANESTHESIOLOGY CONSULTANTS INC. · PHYSICIAN | PHOENIX, AZ | 1 | $750 |
| HOLLETT, BYRON | NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED | INDIANAPOLIS, IN | 2 | $505 |
| HUNT, TERRY | RETIRED · RETIRED | CHANDLER, AZ | 1 | $500 |
| INGRAHAM, JAMES | SAGE AUTOMATION, INC. · SOFTWARE DEVELOPER | BEAUMONT, TX | 1 | $500 |
| DEPRIMA, TONY | NOT EMPLOYED · RETIRED | PHOENIX, AZ | 1 | $500 |
| LEVITAN, ROBERT J | BLACK MOUNTAIN CONSULTING LLC · CONSULTANT | SCOTTSDALE, AZ | 1 | $250 |
| SKAGGS, MARK | NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED | EAGLE, ID | 1 | $250 |
| CONNORS, WILLIAM K. | NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED | QUINCY, MA | 1 | $250 |
| AIBEL, DANIEL | NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED | STEVENSON, MD | 1 | $250 |
| MACAULEY, JEANETTE | NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED | FLAGSTAFF, AZ | 2 | $200 |
| MADDOX, MARYA | NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED | SANTA CLARA, CA | 2 | $200 |
| MCHALE, DENISE | NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED | NEWBURGH, NY | 1 | $200 |
| NEWBERRY, ALICE | NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED | IVINS, UT | 2 | $165 |
| CAPOZZOLI, JEANNE | NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED | DURANGO, CO | 1 | $100 |
| BAYER, THERESA | NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED | GILBERT, AZ | 1 | $100 |
| GWINN, ELISABETH | NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED | PRESCOTT, AZ | 1 | $100 |
| BRONFMAN, ADAM | MIGHTY BUM LLC · CONSULTANT | SEDONA, AZ | 1 | $100 |
| BONSTELLE, CHARLES T. | NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED | PHOENIX, AZ | 1 | $100 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (41)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-30 | SUNFLOWER SEEDS PAC | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2026-03-27 | FLIP THE CONGRESS PAC | contributed_to | $1,500 | pas2 | |
| 2026-03-26 | JEFFRIES FOR CONGRESS | contributed_to | $2,000 | pas2 | |
| 2026-03-26 | JEFFRIES FOR CONGRESS | contributed_to | $2,000 | pas2 | |
| 2026-03-25 | PAC FOR A DEMOCRATIC FUTURE | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2026-03-25 | CA LUV PAC (CALIFORNIA LEADERSHIP UNITED FOR VICTORY PAC) | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2026-03-24 | BEEPAC (BUILDING ECONOMIC EMPOWERMENT PAC) | contributed_to | $2,000 | pas2 | |
| 2026-03-17 | MAKING A DIFFERENCE PAC | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2026-03-13 | FIGHT FOR PROGRESS PAC | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2026-03-10 | KATHERINE CLARK FOR CONGRESS | contributed_to | $2,000 | pas2 | |
| 2026-03-10 | KATHERINE CLARK FOR CONGRESS | contributed_to | $2,000 | pas2 | |
| 2026-03-09 | FLIP THE CONGRESS PAC | contributed_to | $3,500 | pas2 | |
| 2026-01-26 | COMMUNICATIONS WORKERS OF AMERICA - COPE POLITICAL CONTRIBUTIONS COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $-5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2026-01-12 | ARIZONA DEMOCRATIC PARTY | contributed_to | $4,243 | pas2 | |
| 2025-12-30 | MARK KELLY FOR SENATE | contributed_to | $2,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-12-30 | MARK KELLY FOR SENATE | contributed_to | $2,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-12-24 | DEFEAT EXTREMISTS | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-12-19 | LIFTOFF PAC | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-12-17 | STANTON FOR CONGRESS | contributed_to | $2,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-12-12 | PETE AGUILAR FOR CONGRESS | contributed_to | $2,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-12-12 | BRIDGE THE GAP PAC | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-12-10 | LEAGUE OF CONSERVATION VOTERS ACTION FUND | contributed_to | $50 | pas2 | |
| 2025-12-08 | NEW DEMOCRAT COALITION ACTION FUND | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-12-03 | DEFEND THE VOTE | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2025-09-30 | SERVICE FIRST PAC | contributed_to | $2,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-09-25 | LA BAMBA PAC | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2025-08-22 | TURQUOISE PAC | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2025-08-15 | JOBS, EDUCATION, & FAMILIES FIRST JEFF PAC | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-08-15 | JEFFRIES FOR CONGRESS | contributed_to | $2,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-07-29 | UNITED FOOD AND COMMERCIAL WORKERS INTERNATIONAL UNION ACTIVE BALLOT CLUB | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-07-29 | UNITED FOOD AND COMMERCIAL WORKERS INTERNATIONAL UNION ACTIVE BALLOT CLUB | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-07-29 | JUNTOS PAC | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-07-25 | LOBO PAC | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2025-07-24 | GETTING RESULTS BY ENGAGING THE GRASSROOTS PAC | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-07-23 | FAIR SHOT PAC | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-07-23 | SHARICE FOR CONGRESS | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-07-22 | AHORA PAC | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-07-22 | LIFTOFF PAC | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-03-05 | WESTERN STATES REGIONAL COUNCIL OF CARPENTERS LEGISLATIVE IMPROVEMENT CMTE UNITED BROTHERHOOD OF CARPENTERS & JOINERS OF AMERICA | contributed_to | $3,708 | pas2 | |
| 2024-11-01 | HOUSE FREEDOM ACTION FUND | opposes_independently | $21,179 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-24 | HOUSE FREEDOM ACTION FUND | opposes_independently | $29,978 | fec_ies |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | principal_candidate_of | JONATHAN NEZ FOR CONGRESS | — | candidate_committees |