ROSENDALE, MATT MR.
R · house · bioguide R000103
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- FEC candidate id
H4MT00050- Internal id
ba7ed15e-af37-4137-b77a-bc108f76a10d- Status
- incumbent
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), MT-02. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 552,014 |
| People | Median age | 41 |
| Income | Median household income | $71,501 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $40,346 |
| Income | In poverty | 11.6% |
| Income | Unemployed | 3.8% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.454 |
| Race | White alone | 83.5% |
| Race | Black alone | 0.6% |
| Race | Asian alone | 0.7% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 4.7% |
| Race | Two or more races | 6.7% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 1.8% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 96.1% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 1.2% |
| Education | High school or higher | 61.3% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 31.4% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 9.8% |
| Household | Family households | 61.4% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.38 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 28.4% |
| Housing | Median home value | $311,300 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $981 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 70.0% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 5.4% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.7% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 12.4% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 9.6% |
| Health | With a disability | 15.2% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 88.6% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 8.6% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 72.5% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.7% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 10.6% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $920 | $810,043 | $110,970 | $123,501 | $0 |
| 2024 | $1,067,698 | $1,365,379 | $920,093 | $0 | $582,549 |
| 2022 | $2,284,638 | $1,329,704 | $1,217,773 | $0 | $1,268,952 |
| 2020 | $4,034,800 | $3,848,140 | $262,839 | $0 | $3,143,255 |
| 2018 | $5,994,023 | $5,924,058 | $76,178 | $157,831 | $4,549,341 |
| 2016 | $19,067 | $15,533 | $6,213 | $236,694 | $10,000 |
| 2014 | $1,356,310 | $1,353,631 | $2,680 | $254,445 | $195,112 |
Elections
- 2014 general house · MT-2 — running
- 2018 general house · MT-2 — running
- 2020 general house · MT-2 — running
- 2022 general house · MT-2 — won
- 2024 general house · MT-2 — lost_general
Committees
- MATT ROSENDALE FOR MONTANA — principal · type H
Recent votes
- 2024-12-20 · Cong. 118 · house roll 517
NAY on HR 10545 — American Relief Act, 2025 - 2024-12-19 · Cong. 118 · house roll 516
NAY on HR 10515 — American Relief Act, 2025 - 2024-12-18 · Cong. 118 · house roll 515
NAY on S 759 — Beagle Brigade Act of 2023 - 2024-12-18 · Cong. 118 · house roll 514
YEA on HR 8663 — DETECT Fentanyl and Xylazine Act of 2024 - 2024-12-18 · Cong. 118 · house roll 513
NAY on S 3857 — Jamul Indian Village Land Transfer Act - 2024-12-18 · Cong. 118 · house roll 512
NAY on S 1351 — Stop Institutional Child Abuse Act - 2024-12-17 · Cong. 118 · house roll 511
NAY on HR 1101 — Lumbee Fairness Act - 2024-12-17 · Cong. 118 · house roll 510
NAY on Never Again Education Reauthorization Act - 2024-12-17 · Cong. 118 · house roll 509
YEA on HR 115 — Midnight Rules Relief Act - 2024-12-17 · Cong. 118 · house roll 508
NAY on HR 115 — Midnight Rules Relief Act
Sponsored & cosponsored bills
- cosponsor · 2023-07-11 — HR 4278 — Restore VA Accountability Act of 2023
- cosponsor · 2023-05-17 — HR 3397 — WEST Act of 2024
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 99.0%
| Feature | Δ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| incumbent | +78.0% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $688 | $0 | 1 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-11-01 | DISABLED VETERANS PAC | support | $688 | MEDIA PRODUCTION / MEDIA PLACEMENT |
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
Connected on the graph
Inbound (100)
Outbound (3)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | principal_candidate_of | MATT ROSENDALE FOR MONTANA | — | candidate_committees | |
| 2023-07-11 | cosponsor_of_bill | HR 4278 — Restore VA Accountability Act of 2023 | — | cosponsor | sponsorship |
| 2023-05-17 | cosponsor_of_bill | HR 3397 — WEST Act of 2024 | — | cosponsor | sponsorship |