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STEFANIK, ELISE M.

R · house · currently seated · bioguide S001196

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FEC candidate id
H4NY21079
Internal id
e49de540-96ee-4e51-a3c8-84a5c800b63f
Status
incumbent

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NY-21. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation770,419
PeopleMedian age42
IncomeMedian household income$70,983
IncomePer-capita income$38,135
IncomeIn poverty13.1%
IncomeUnemployed4.4%
IncomeGini inequality index0.441
RaceWhite alone89.7%
RaceBlack alone2.3%
RaceAsian alone1.0%
RaceHispanic or Latino3.8%
RaceTwo or more races4.8%
OriginForeign-born3.3%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home94.4%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home1.9%
EducationHigh school or higher59.6%
EducationBachelor's or higher26.2%
EducationAdvanced degree11.3%
HouseholdFamily households61.9%
HouseholdAvg household size2.27
HouseholdNever married (15+)31.4%
HousingMedian home value$180,600
HousingMedian gross rent$973
HousingSingle-family detached70.4%
HousingBuilt before 19405.6%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)1.4%
HousingVacant units20.3%
ServiceVeterans (18+)8.0%
HealthWith a disability16.4%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband88.6%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet8.7%
CommuteDrove alone76.5%
CommutePublic transit0.4%
CommuteWorked from home9.2%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

CycleRaisedSpentCash on handDebtsIndiv. contribs.
2026$4,957,561$2,879,667$10,825,811$0$2,433,919
2024$15,467,578$7,636,449$8,747,917$0$5,531,700
2022$9,489,981$10,556,733$916,789$0$7,457,575
2020$13,349,929$11,718,617$1,983,541$0$11,174,707
2018$2,808,067$2,998,028$352,229$0$1,071,834
2016$3,150,716$2,631,085$542,189$0$1,355,523
2014$1,950,718$1,928,160$22,558$89,324$1,046,694

Elections

Committees

Recent votes

Sponsored & cosponsored bills

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 99.0%

FeatureΔ P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
incumbent+78.0%
R (major party)+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

CycleSupportOpposeIEs
2022$79,000$163,47312

Recent (latest 25)

DateSpenderFor / againstAmountPurpose
2022-10-27DEMOCRACY DEFENSE ACTIONoppose$9,856Mobile Billboard Ad Buy; IE-Only Account
2022-10-27CITIZENS FOR RESPONSIBLE ENERGY SOLUTIONS INC.support$19,000Digital Advertising/Production
2022-10-17RURAL FREEDOM NETWORKoppose$20,000Digital Advertising
2022-10-05THE LINCOLN PROJECToppose$42,500Digital Ad Buy
2022-10-05THE LINCOLN PROJECToppose$4,333TV Ad Buy
2022-10-03THE LINCOLN PROJECToppose$3,008Ad Production Production for this IE paid as part of a mon…
2022-05-23THE LINCOLN PROJECToppose$20,000Digital Ad Buy
2022-05-20THE LINCOLN PROJECToppose$49,750TV Ad Buy
2022-05-13THE LINCOLN PROJECToppose$14,025TV Ad Production Production for this IE paid as part of a …
2022-01-07NATIONAL VICTORY ACTION FUNDsupport$20,000NON-CONTRIBUTION ACCT: ONLINE ADVERTISING / EMAIL COMMUNICA…
2021-12-21NATIONAL VICTORY ACTION FUNDsupport$20,000NON-CONTRIBUTION ACCT: ONLINE ADVERTISING / EMAIL COMMUNICA…
2021-12-08NATIONAL VICTORY ACTION FUNDsupport$20,000NON-CONTRIBUTION ACCT: ONLINE ADVERTISING / EMAIL COMMUNICA…

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

DateFrom committeeTypeAmount
ELECT REPUBLICANS24E$4,336
ELECT REPUBLICANS24E$45
ELECT REPUBLICANS24E$1,944
ELECT REPUBLICANS24E$3,210
ELECT REPUBLICANS24E$3,421
2026-03-10LEAN FORWARD AMERICA24K$-3,500
2026-02-25A NEW NATION PAC24K$-5,000
2026-02-19E-PAC24K$-5,000
2026-02-18AMERICAN REVIVAL PAC24K$-5,000
2026-02-17DIRIGO PAC24K$-5,000
2026-02-13TRUE NORTH PAC24K$-5,000
2026-02-02BUILDING A NATIONAL KNOWLEDGEABLE SECURITY PAC24K$-5,000
2025-12-23BUILDING A NATIONAL KNOWLEDGEABLE SECURITY PAC24K$5,000
2025-12-15LEAN FORWARD AMERICA24K$3,500
2025-12-09INNOVATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE24K$5,000
2025-11-24COMPETITIVE MARKETS PAC24K$1,000
2025-11-20HIGHWATER PAC24K$5,000
2025-11-11FIELD OF DREAMS PAC24K$2,500
2025-11-11RVFPAC24K$2,000
2025-11-11AMERICAN ISRAEL PUBLIC AFFAIRS COMMITTEE POLITI…24K$0
2025-11-07BIG IDEAS CREATE EXCELLENCE PAC24K$1,000
2025-11-07FIGHT ON PAC24K$5,000
2025-11-07FIGHT ON PAC24K$5,000
2025-11-06RAPTOR PAC24K$5,000
2025-11-06MR. SOUTHERN MISSOURIAN IN THE HOUSE PAC24K$5,000

Top individual donors (2026 cycle)

Via this candidate's principal committee ELISE FOR CONGRESS.

Aggregated from FEC Schedule A by donor (name + city + state). Employer + occupation reflect the donor's most recent gift. Source: FEC indiv bulk.

DonorEmployer / occupationCity, STGiftsTotal
MORRIS, ROBERT E. MR. JR.RETIRED · RETIREDRIVERSIDE, CT1$1,125
KUTIK, KAREN S. MRS.GUILFORD, NY1$766
ROACH, GEORGE E.POUND, NY1$750
DOAN, MONICA G. MS.VANCOUVER, WA1$600
DUNNING, JAMES D. JR2 SUTTON PLACE SOUTH · RETIREDNEW YORK, NY2$510
GALLITTO, JOSEPH · SELFCOMMACK, NY1$500
SEILER, DANIEL J. MR.DERBY, NY1$500
SMITH, RICKY DEAN MR.COVINGTON, LA1$500
MCCRUM, EVERETT S. MRS.RETIRED · RETIREDBROWNWOOD, TX1$500
MIDDLETON, GERALDINE C. MS.PISMO BEACH, CA1$500
GUMENICK, LISAYORK, PA1$500
COLE, NORMAN R. MR.RETIRED · RETIREDNEWNAN, GA1$500
SEWARD, WALTERRETIRED · RETIREDDAYTON, OH1$500
BANKS, BRADFORD H. MR.CLARENCE, NY1$500
MANDOZA, DANAGENEVA, IL1$500
DE VALK, JOHN MR.RETIRED · RETIREDLIVERPOOL, NY1$500
BIELA, JOSEPHRETIRED · RETIREDPOUGHKEEPSIE, NY1$500
KOVACS, FRANKRETIRED · RETIREDGRAND ISLAND, NY1$500
JAVITT, NORMANRETIRED · RETIREDNEW YORK, NY1$500
DIAMOND, LANCE S. MR.RETIRED · RETIREDBROOKLYN, NY1$500
HALVERSON, WARREN MR.BELLEVUE, WA1$500
JANCZAK, ANDREW A. MR. SR.ENECON CORPORATION · BUSINESS EXECUTIVEBAYPORT, NY1$500
ROVERS, ADRIANRETIRED · RETIREDTITUSVILLE, FL1$500
TATE, MICHAEL E.SLINGERLANDS, NY1$500
TAUBNER, VALENTINE J. MR. JR.PELHAM, NY1$500

Connected on the graph

Inbound (100)

datefromtypeamountrolesource
2026-05-1840ac501fclip_aboutclip
2026-05-18de1f8376clip_aboutclip
2026-05-18c2f98f8dclip_aboutclip
2026-05-18adbdb90eclip_aboutclip
ELECT REPUBLICANScontributed_to$3,421pas2
ELECT REPUBLICANScontributed_to$1,944pas2
ELECT REPUBLICANScontributed_to$45pas2
ELECT REPUBLICANScontributed_to$4,336pas2
ELECT REPUBLICANScontributed_to$3,210pas2
2026-05-1413ef828cclip_aboutclip
2026-05-14f2a97eadclip_aboutclip
2026-03-10LEAN FORWARD AMERICA FUNDcontributed_to$-3,500pas2
2026-02-25A NEW NATION PACcontributed_to$-5,000pas2
2026-02-19E-PACcontributed_to$-5,000pas2
2026-02-18AMERICAN REVIVAL PACcontributed_to$-5,000pas2
2026-02-17DIRIGO PACcontributed_to$-5,000pas2
2026-02-13TRUE NORTH PACcontributed_to$-5,000pas2
2026-02-02BUILDING A NATIONAL KNOWLEDGEABLE SECURITY PACcontributed_to$-5,000pas2
2025-12-23BUILDING A NATIONAL KNOWLEDGEABLE SECURITY PACcontributed_to$5,000pas2
2025-12-15LEAN FORWARD AMERICA FUNDcontributed_to$3,500pas2
2025-12-09INNOVATION FUNDcontributed_to$5,000pas2
2025-11-24COMPETITIVE MARKETS PACcontributed_to$1,000pas2
2025-11-20HIGHWATER PACcontributed_to$5,000pas2
2025-11-11FIELD OF DREAMS PACcontributed_to$2,500pas2
2025-11-11RVFPACcontributed_to$2,000pas2
2025-11-11AMERICAN ISRAEL PUBLIC AFFAIRS COMMITTEE POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEEcontributed_to$0pas2
2025-11-07FIGHT ON PACcontributed_to$5,000pas2
2025-11-07FIGHT ON PACcontributed_to$5,000pas2
2025-11-07BIG IDEAS CREATE EXCELLENCE PACcontributed_to$1,000pas2
2025-11-06RAPTOR PACcontributed_to$5,000pas2
2025-11-06REPUBLICAN MAJORITY FUNDcontributed_to$5,000pas2
2025-11-06MR. SOUTHERN MISSOURIAN IN THE HOUSE PACcontributed_to$5,000pas2
2025-11-05HIGHWATER PACcontributed_to$5,000pas2
2025-11-04JIM JORDAN FOR CONGRESScontributed_to$2,000pas2
2025-11-04JIM JORDAN FOR CONGRESScontributed_to$2,000pas2
2025-11-04LET'S ALL KEEP ELECTING REPUBLICANS PACcontributed_to$2,500pas2
2025-11-03IMPACTcontributed_to$2,000pas2
2025-11-03TRUTH IS MARKETS WORK FUNDcontributed_to$2,500pas2
2025-11-03WILD AND WONDERFUL PACcontributed_to$5,000pas2
2025-11-03CAROL FOR CONGRESScontributed_to$2,000pas2
2025-11-02AMERICAN ISRAEL PUBLIC AFFAIRS COMMITTEE POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEEcontributed_to$-6pas2
2025-11-01BOOTS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEEcontributed_to$5,000pas2
2025-11-01BOOTS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEEcontributed_to$5,000pas2
2025-10-31CREATING OPPORTUNITIES, MARKETS AND ENTHUSIASM IN RURAL KENTUCKY PACcontributed_to$5,000pas2
2025-10-23ALTRIA GROUP, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (ALTRIAPAC)contributed_to$1,000pas2
2025-10-22COMMITTEE FOR AMERICAN PRINCIPLEScontributed_to$1,200pas2
2025-10-14MAGGIE'S LISTcontributed_to$50pas2
2025-10-13MASSACHUSETTS MUTUAL LIFE INSURANCE COMPANY POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEEcontributed_to$5,000pas2
2025-10-10MAINTAINING ALL REPUBLICANS IN OFFICE PACcontributed_to$1,000pas2
2025-09-30SCALISE FOR CONGRESScontributed_to$2,000pas2
2025-09-30SCALISE FOR CONGRESScontributed_to$2,000pas2
2025-09-30PENNSYLVANIA HONORcontributed_to$5,000pas2
2025-09-30THE EYE OF THE TIGER POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEEcontributed_to$5,000pas2
2025-09-30THE EYE OF THE TIGER POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEEcontributed_to$1,000pas2
2025-09-30FIRST IN FREEDOM PACcontributed_to$5,000pas2
2025-09-29DIRIGO PACcontributed_to$5,000pas2
2025-09-29DIRIGO PACcontributed_to$5,000pas2
2025-09-261890 PACcontributed_to$3,000pas2
2025-09-25TRUE NORTH PACcontributed_to$5,000pas2
2025-09-25TRUE NORTH PACcontributed_to$5,000pas2
2025-09-24EMPLOYEES OF RTX CORPORATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEEcontributed_to$1,000pas2
2025-09-24AMERICAN INSTITUTE OF CERTIFIED PUBLIC ACCOUNTANTS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEEcontributed_to$5,000pas2
2025-09-24NATIONAL FUEL GAS COMPANY FEDERAL POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEEcontributed_to$2,000pas2
2025-09-24NATIONAL AUTOMOBILE DEALERS ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEEcontributed_to$5,000pas2
2025-09-23EMMER FOR CONGRESScontributed_to$2,000pas2
2025-09-23LEIDOS INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEEcontributed_to$1,000pas2
2025-09-23EMMER FOR CONGRESScontributed_to$2,000pas2
2025-09-23AMGEN INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEEcontributed_to$1,000pas2
2025-09-23ELECTING MAJORITY MAKING EFFECTIVE REPUBLICANS PACcontributed_to$5,000pas2
2025-09-23ELECTING MAJORITY MAKING EFFECTIVE REPUBLICANS PACcontributed_to$5,000pas2
2025-09-19NATIONAL AUTOMOBILE DEALERS ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEEcontributed_to$-5,000pas2
2025-09-18LOCKHEED MARTIN CORPORATION EMPLOYEES' POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEEcontributed_to$2,500pas2
2025-09-17NATIONAL COMMUNITY PHARMACISTS ASSOCIATION - PACcontributed_to$1,000pas2
2025-09-16LASTING INVESTMENTS STRENGTHENING AMERICA PACcontributed_to$5,000pas2
2025-09-16AMERICAN REVIVAL PACcontributed_to$5,000pas2
2025-09-16AMERICAN REVIVAL PACcontributed_to$5,000pas2
2025-09-16NATIONAL AUTOMOBILE DEALERS ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEEcontributed_to$5,000pas2
2025-09-15THE WILLIAMS COMPANIES, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEEcontributed_to$1,000pas2
2025-09-12CORNING INCORPORATED EMPLOYEES POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (COREPAC)contributed_to$5,000pas2
2025-09-11NATIONAL RURAL ELECTRIC COOPERATIVE ASSOCIATION AMERICA'S ELECTRIC COOPERATIVES PACcontributed_to$1,000pas2
2025-09-08ALCOA CORPORATION EMPLOYEES' POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEEcontributed_to$2,500pas2
2025-08-25BUILDING AMERICA'S REPUBLICAN REPRESENTATION PACcontributed_to$5,000pas2
2025-08-21NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEEcontributed_to$1,000pas2
2025-08-07FEDEX CORPORATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEEcontributed_to$1,000pas2
2025-08-05NATIONAL SHOOTING SPORTS FOUNDATION, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (NSSF PAC)contributed_to$2,500pas2
2025-07-30CHARTER COMMUNICATIONS INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEEcontributed_to$5,000pas2
2025-07-08HELP ELECT REPUBLICANS NOWcontributed_to$5,000pas2
2025-07-01NEW YORK STATE CONSERVATIVE PARTYcontributed_to$10,000pas2
2025-06-30L3HARRIS TECHNOLOGIES, INC. PACcontributed_to$1,000pas2
2025-06-27WALMART INC. PAC FOR RESPONSIBLE GOVERNMENTcontributed_to$2,000pas2
2025-06-26A NEW NATION PACcontributed_to$5,000pas2
2025-06-26A NEW NATION PACcontributed_to$5,000pas2
2025-06-25UBS AMERICAS INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (UBS PAC)contributed_to$5,000pas2
2025-06-25AMERICAN ISRAEL PUBLIC AFFAIRS COMMITTEE POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEEcontributed_to$5,000pas2
2025-06-25E-PACcontributed_to$5,000pas2
2025-06-25E-PACcontributed_to$5,000pas2
2025-06-25TEXTRON INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEEcontributed_to$1,000pas2
2025-06-25NY REPUBLICAN FEDERAL CAMPAIGN COMMITTEEcontributed_to$5,000pas2
2025-06-25NY REPUBLICAN FEDERAL CAMPAIGN COMMITTEEcontributed_to$5,000pas2
2025-06-24THE HOME DEPOT INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEEcontributed_to$5,000pas2

Outbound (34)

datetypetoamountrolesource
joint_fundraising_committee_ofNY CONGRESSIONAL VICTORY FUNDcandidate_committees
joint_fundraising_committee_ofWINNING WOMENcandidate_committees
joint_fundraising_committee_ofAMERICAN FUNDcandidate_committees
joint_fundraising_committee_ofYOUNG GUNS DAY III 2014candidate_committees
joint_fundraising_committee_ofNEW YORK MAJORITY FUND 2014candidate_committees
principal_candidate_ofELISE FOR CONGRESScandidate_committees
joint_fundraising_committee_ofWINNING WOMEN 2016candidate_committees
joint_fundraising_committee_ofREPUBLICANS INSPIRING SUCCESS & EMPOWERMENT PROJECT (RISE PROJECT)candidate_committees
2026-05-14spoke_in_clip13ef828cclip
2026-05-14spoke_in_clipf2a97eadclip
2026-04-16cosponsor_of_billHR 2555 — Freedom of Association in Higher Education Act of 2025cosponsorsponsorship
2026-03-24cosponsor_of_billHR 5267 — American Franchise Actcosponsorsponsorship
2026-03-17cosponsor_of_billHR 7941 — Pay TSA Act of 2026cosponsorsponsorship
2026-02-24cosponsor_of_billHR 5645 — Pray Safe Act of 2025cosponsorsponsorship
2026-02-12cosponsor_of_billHR 7208 — PROTECT the Grid Actcosponsorsponsorship
2026-02-11cosponsor_of_billHR 7498 — After Hours Child Care Actcosponsorsponsorship
2025-12-18cosponsor_of_billHR 1628 — 761st Tank Battalion Congressional Gold Medal Actcosponsorsponsorship
2025-07-21cosponsor_of_billHR 4473 — BIRD Health Act of 2025cosponsorsponsorship
2025-06-10cosponsor_of_billHR 3891 — Northern Border Security and Staffing Reform Actcosponsorsponsorship
2025-06-09cosponsor_of_billHR 7 — No Taxpayer Funding for Abortion and Abortion Insurance Full Disclosure Act of 2025cosponsorsponsorship
2025-01-03member_of_committeeHouse Strategic Forces SubcommitteeMEMBERcongress-committee
2025-01-03member_of_committeeHouse Military Personnel SubcommitteeMEMBERcongress-committee
2025-01-03member_of_committeeHouse Education and Workforce CommitteeMEMBERcongress-committee
2025-01-03member_of_committeeHouse Armed Services CommitteeMEMBERcongress-committee
2025-01-03member_of_committeeHouse Higher Education and Workforce Development SubcommitteeMEMBERcongress-committee
2025-01-03member_of_committeeHouse Cyber, Information Technologies, and Innovation SubcommitteeMEMBERcongress-committee
2024-09-19cosponsor_of_billHR 9678 — Federal Lands Amplified Security for the Homeland (FLASH) Actcosponsorsponsorship
2024-07-02cosponsor_of_billHR 8914 — University Accountability Actcosponsorsponsorship
2024-02-15cosponsor_of_billHR 7365 — VETS Safe Travel Actcosponsorsponsorship
2024-01-05cosponsor_of_billHR 3238 — Affordable Housing Credit Improvement Act of 2023cosponsorsponsorship
2023-11-02cosponsor_of_billHR 6175 — NO GOTION Actcosponsorsponsorship
2023-10-11cosponsor_of_billHR 5933 — DETERRENT Actcosponsorsponsorship
2023-07-12cosponsor_of_billHR 4145 — Safeguarding American Education From Foreign Control Actcosponsorsponsorship
2023-03-22cosponsor_of_billHR 1725 — End Zuckerbucks Actcosponsorsponsorship

Clips (6)

Quotes, press releases, and Congressional Record fragments where this entity is the subject. Source: govinfo.gov BILLSTATUS + per-source ingest pipelines.

DateSourceSpeakerHeadline
GDELTwaer.org: https://www.waer.org/2026-05-18/why-democrats-think-they-actually-have-a-shot-at-stefaniks-seat-in-congress
GDELTgothamist.com: https://gothamist.com/news/why-democrats-think-they-actually-have-a-shot-at-stefaniks-seat
GDELTnorthcountrypublicradio.org: https://www.northcountrypublicradio.org/news/npr/g-s603-16576/why-democrats-think-they-actually-have-a-shot-at-stefanik-s-seat-in-congress
GDELTwamc.org: https://www.wamc.org/2026-05-18/why-democrats-think-they-actually-have-a-shot-at-stefaniks-seat-in-congress
Congressional RecordPERSONAL EXPLANATION
Congressional RecordPERSONAL EXPLANATION

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