STELSON, JANELLE

D · house

FEC candidate id: H4PA10104
Internal id: f7d1f8ec-0c9b-40d6-89e5-47bbf9a42425
Status: challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), PA-10. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	779,640
People	Median age	40
Income	Median household income	$81,964
Income	Per-capita income	$43,355
Income	In poverty	10.0%
Income	Unemployed	4.3%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.439
Race	White alone	72.8%
Race	Black alone	10.6%
Race	Asian alone	4.9%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	10.4%
Race	Two or more races	7.6%
Origin	Foreign-born	7.8%
Language	Speaks English only at home	87.6%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	6.0%
Education	High school or higher	67.6%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	34.7%
Education	Advanced degree	13.3%
Household	Family households	63.4%
Household	Avg household size	2.40
Household	Never married (15+)	32.1%
Housing	Median home value	$249,100
Housing	Median gross rent	$1,217
Housing	Single-family detached	56.0%
Housing	Built before 1940	5.4%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	1.4%
Housing	Vacant units	4.5%
Service	Veterans (18+)	7.3%
Health	With a disability	13.9%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	91.1%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	6.7%
Commute	Drove alone	71.5%
Commute	Public transit	0.9%
Commute	Worked from home	16.1%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2026	$4,691,753	$1,357,723	$3,349,268	$0	$3,602,798
2024	$6,521,826	$6,506,589	$15,237	$0	$5,380,075

Elections

2024 general house · PA-10 — lost_general
2026 general house · PA-10 — running

Committees

FRIENDS OF JANELLE STELSON — principal · type H

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
D (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

Cycle	Support	Oppose	IEs
2026	$26,852	$12,485	7
2024	$899,945	$4,199,922	203

Recent (latest 25)

Date	Spender	For / against	Amount	Purpose
—	CASA IN ACTION PAC	support	$10,026	Radio Advertisement - Estimate
—	CASA IN ACTION PAC	support	$8	Graphic Design - Estimate
—	CASA IN ACTION PAC	support	$2,574	Phone Banking - Estimate
—	CASA IN ACTION PAC	support	$2,500	Radio Advertisement - Estimate
—	CASA IN ACTION PAC	support	$1,980	Texting - Estimate
—	CASA IN ACTION PAC	support	$38,475	Canvassing Service - Estimate
—	CASA IN ACTION PAC	support	$57	Event Speaker Travel - Estimate
—	CASA IN ACTION PAC	support	$53	Event Speaker Travel - Estimate
—	CASA IN ACTION PAC	support	$150	Radio Advertisement - Estimate
—	CASA IN ACTION PAC	support	$2,664	Event Transportation - Estimate
—	CASA IN ACTION PAC	support	$19,800	Digital Advertising - Estimate
—	CASA IN ACTION PAC	support	$839	Door Lit - Estimate
—	CASA IN ACTION PAC	support	$2	Event Speaker Travel - Estimate
—	CASA IN ACTION PAC	support	$158	Photography - Estimate
—	CASA IN ACTION PAC	support	$4	Event Speaker Travel - Estimate
—	CASA IN ACTION PAC	support	$990	Videography - Estimate
—	CASA IN ACTION PAC	support	$48	Banner - Estimate
—	CASA IN ACTION PAC	support	$59	Event Food - Estimate
—	CASA IN ACTION PAC	support	$61	Event Speaker Travel - Estimate
—	CASA IN ACTION PAC	support	$2,557	Direct Mail - Estimate
—	CASA IN ACTION PAC	support	$109	Event Food - Estimate
—	CASA IN ACTION PAC	support	$1,998	Event Transportation - Estimate
—	CASA IN ACTION PAC	support	$412	Interpretor - Estimate
—	CASA IN ACTION PAC	support	$342	Photography - Estimate
—	CASA IN ACTION PAC	support	$73	Event Food - Estimate

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2026-03-31	DEMOCRATIC WOMEN OF SANTA BARBARA COUNTY	24K	$500
2026-03-30	SUNFLOWER SEEDS PAC	24K	$1,000
2026-03-27	FLIP THE CONGRESS PAC	24K	$1,500
2026-03-25	COMMITTEE FOR A DEMOCRATIC FUTURE	24K	$1,000
2026-03-25	CA LUV PAC (CALIFORNIA LEADERSHIP UNITED FOR VI…	24K	$5,000
2026-03-25	UNITED MINE WORKERS OF AMERICA - COAL MINERS PO…	24K	$1,000
2026-03-24	BEEPAC (BUILDING ECONOMIC EMPOWERMENT PAC)	24K	$2,000
2026-03-23	SPIKE PAC	24K	$1,000
2026-03-17	MAKING A DIFFERENCE PAC	24K	$3,000
2026-03-17	ATHENA PAC	24K	$1,000
2026-03-13	FIGHT FOR PROGRESS PAC	24K	$1,000
2026-03-12	YINZER PAC	24K	$1,500
2026-03-10	BACKPAC	24K	$1,000
2026-03-10	KATHERINE CLARK FOR CONGRESS	24K	$2,000
2026-03-10	KATHERINE CLARK FOR CONGRESS	24K	$2,000
2026-03-05	UNITED MINE WORKERS OF AMERICA - COAL MINERS PO…	24K	$1,000
2026-03-05	DR KIM SCHRIER FOR CONGRESS	24K	$1,000
2026-02-27	BUILD AMERICA PAC	24K	$1,000
2026-02-26	AMERICAN FEDERATION OF GOVT. EMPL. POLITICAL AC…	24K	$2,000
2026-02-25	DMFI PAC	24E	$381
2026-02-25	GIVEGREEN UNITED ACTION	24E	$53
2026-02-15	GIVEGREEN UNITED ACTION	24E	$13
2026-02-13	WOMEN'S POLITICAL COMMITTEE FEDERAL	24K	$5,000
2026-02-10	CONGRESS MAJORITY PAC	24K	$200
2026-02-09	UNITED STEELWORKERS POLITICAL ACTION FUND	24K	$5,000

Top individual donors (2026 cycle)

Via this candidate's principal committee FRIENDS OF JANELLE STELSON.

Aggregated from FEC Schedule A by donor (name + city + state). Employer + occupation reflect the donor's most recent gift. Source: FEC indiv bulk.

Donor	Employer / occupation	City, ST	Gifts	Total
MUNGER, MOLLY	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	PASADENA, CA	2	$7,000
DIEBOLD, JAMES	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	MECHANICSBURG, PA	2	$3,500
GRUBER, FRANK	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	SANTA MONICA, CA	1	$3,000
RAYNER, KATHARINE	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	NEW YORK, NY	1	$2,500
STONE, LAWRENCE	METRON · MATHEMATICIAN	KENNETT SQUARE, PA	1	$2,000
MUKHI, MANEESHA	NO EMPLOYER · NO EMPLOYER	GREENWICH, CT	1	$1,600
PATEL, MAYUR	MAYUR PATEL · REAL ESTATE DEV	HARRISBURG, PA	1	$1,500
ALLEN, REBECCA	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	ACTON, MA	1	$1,000
KANN, DAVID	WELLSPAN · PHYSICIAN	CARLISLE, PA	1	$1,000
KADISON, JEFFREY	PRACTICAL ACTUARIAL SOLUTIONS · ACTUARY	WEST HARTFORD, CT	1	$1,000
ABBOTT, DIANA	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	LONGMONT, CO	1	$1,000
WARREN, W. STUART	PENN STATE HEALTH · PEDIATRICIAN	DILLSBURG, PA	1	$1,000
SCHWAB, ANDREW	CREDENTIAL LEASING CORPORATION · EXECUTIVE	HARRISBURG, PA	2	$1,000
MEZEY, GEORGE	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	MARS, PA	1	$1,000
ABERLY, NAOMI	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	BOSTON, MA	1	$1,000
BUSSARD, PAULA	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	CARLISLE, PA	1	$1,000
GILBERT, EDWARD	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	BAINBRIDGE ISLAND, WA	1	$1,000
LABELLA, PETER J	FMA ADVISORY, INC · FOUNDER/OWNER	HARRISBURG, PA	2	$1,000
SNYDER, STUART	NOT EMPLOYED · RETIRED	YORK, PA	1	$1,000
KUHN, KATHLEEN	TSR · EXEC	DILLSBURG, PA	1	$1,000
GROSSMAN, BARBARA	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	BOSTON, MA	1	$833
BROWN, SYLVIA	SELF · CLINICAL SOCIAL WORKER	PHILADELPHIA, PA	1	$500
BRIER, PETER	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	CAMP HILL, PA	1	$500
CURRAN, FAITH	CLEAR POINT COMMUNICATIONS · PR COMMUNICATIONS	NEW CUMBERLAND, PA	1	$500
COWETT, JOHN	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	HARRISBURG, PA	1	$500

Connected on the graph

Inbound (100)

date	from	type	amount	source
—	SOLIDARITY VICTORY PAC	supports_independently	$1,003	fec_ies
—	SOLIDARITY VICTORY PAC	supports_independently	$10,610	fec_ies
—	SOLIDARITY VICTORY PAC	supports_independently	$1,400	fec_ies
—	SOLIDARITY VICTORY PAC	supports_independently	$1,014	fec_ies
—	SOLIDARITY VICTORY PAC	supports_independently	$738	fec_ies
—	SOLIDARITY VICTORY PAC	supports_independently	$12,086	fec_ies
—	WELCOMEPAC	supports_independently	$917	fec_ies
—	WELCOMEPAC	supports_independently	$47,383	fec_ies
—	WELCOMEPAC	supports_independently	$3,016	fec_ies
—	WELCOMEPAC	supports_independently	$36,550	fec_ies
—	WELCOMEPAC	supports_independently	$96,985	fec_ies
—	WELCOMEPAC	supports_independently	$2,617	fec_ies
—	WELCOMEPAC	supports_independently	$21,583	fec_ies
—	WELCOMEPAC	supports_independently	$150,000	fec_ies
—	WELCOMEPAC	supports_independently	$36,550	fec_ies
—	GUN RIGHTS AMERICA	opposes_independently	$128	fec_ies
—	GUN RIGHTS AMERICA	opposes_independently	$12	fec_ies
—	GUN RIGHTS AMERICA	opposes_independently	$10	fec_ies
—	GUN RIGHTS AMERICA	opposes_independently	$2,640	fec_ies
—	CASA IN ACTION PAC	supports_independently	$158	fec_ies
—	CASA IN ACTION PAC	supports_independently	$143	fec_ies
—	CASA IN ACTION PAC	supports_independently	$2,557	fec_ies
—	CASA IN ACTION PAC	supports_independently	$839	fec_ies
—	CASA IN ACTION PAC	supports_independently	$19,800	fec_ies
—	CASA IN ACTION PAC	supports_independently	$4	fec_ies
—	CASA IN ACTION PAC	supports_independently	$1,998	fec_ies
—	CASA IN ACTION PAC	supports_independently	$2,664	fec_ies
—	CASA IN ACTION PAC	supports_independently	$2	fec_ies
—	CASA IN ACTION PAC	supports_independently	$1,980	fec_ies
—	CASA IN ACTION PAC	supports_independently	$2,574	fec_ies
—	CASA IN ACTION PAC	supports_independently	$12,157	fec_ies
—	CASA IN ACTION PAC	supports_independently	$252	fec_ies
—	CASA IN ACTION PAC	supports_independently	$249	fec_ies
—	CASA IN ACTION PAC	supports_independently	$109	fec_ies
—	CASA IN ACTION PAC	supports_independently	$2,733	fec_ies
—	CASA IN ACTION PAC	supports_independently	$61	fec_ies
—	CASA IN ACTION PAC	supports_independently	$990	fec_ies
—	CASA IN ACTION PAC	supports_independently	$496	fec_ies
—	CASA IN ACTION PAC	supports_independently	$59	fec_ies
—	CASA IN ACTION PAC	supports_independently	$95	fec_ies
—	CASA IN ACTION PAC	supports_independently	$143	fec_ies
—	CASA IN ACTION PAC	supports_independently	$111	fec_ies
—	CASA IN ACTION PAC	supports_independently	$119	fec_ies
—	CASA IN ACTION PAC	supports_independently	$53	fec_ies
—	CASA IN ACTION PAC	supports_independently	$412	fec_ies
—	CASA IN ACTION PAC	supports_independently	$48	fec_ies
—	CASA IN ACTION PAC	supports_independently	$10,026	fec_ies
—	CASA IN ACTION PAC	supports_independently	$2,500	fec_ies
—	CASA IN ACTION PAC	supports_independently	$14	fec_ies
—	CASA IN ACTION PAC	supports_independently	$342	fec_ies
—	CASA IN ACTION PAC	supports_independently	$57	fec_ies
—	CASA IN ACTION PAC	supports_independently	$150	fec_ies
—	CASA IN ACTION PAC	supports_independently	$1,621	fec_ies
—	CASA IN ACTION PAC	supports_independently	$1,621	fec_ies
—	CASA IN ACTION PAC	supports_independently	$8	fec_ies
—	CASA IN ACTION PAC	supports_independently	$38,475	fec_ies
—	CASA IN ACTION PAC	supports_independently	$109	fec_ies
—	CASA IN ACTION PAC	supports_independently	$109	fec_ies
—	CASA IN ACTION PAC	supports_independently	$109	fec_ies
—	CASA IN ACTION PAC	supports_independently	$279	fec_ies
—	CASA IN ACTION PAC	supports_independently	$300	fec_ies
—	CASA IN ACTION PAC	supports_independently	$1,621	fec_ies
—	CASA IN ACTION PAC	supports_independently	$4	fec_ies
—	CASA IN ACTION PAC	supports_independently	$73	fec_ies
—	CASA IN ACTION PAC	supports_independently	$3,604	fec_ies
—	CASA IN ACTION PAC	supports_independently	$6,750	fec_ies
2026-03-31	DEMOCRATIC WOMEN OF SANTA BARBARA COUNTY	contributed_to	$500	pas2
2026-03-30	SUNFLOWER SEEDS PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2026-03-27	FLIP THE CONGRESS PAC	contributed_to	$1,500	pas2
2026-03-25	UNITED MINE WORKERS OF AMERICA - COAL MINERS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2026-03-25	PAC FOR A DEMOCRATIC FUTURE	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2026-03-25	CA LUV PAC (CALIFORNIA LEADERSHIP UNITED FOR VICTORY PAC)	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2026-03-24	BEEPAC (BUILDING ECONOMIC EMPOWERMENT PAC)	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2026-03-23	SPIKE PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2026-03-17	MAKING A DIFFERENCE PAC	contributed_to	$3,000	pas2
2026-03-17	ATHENA PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2026-03-13	FIGHT FOR PROGRESS PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2026-03-12	YINZER PAC	contributed_to	$1,500	pas2
2026-03-10	KATHERINE CLARK FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2026-03-10	BACKPAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2026-03-10	KATHERINE CLARK FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2026-03-05	DR KIM SCHRIER FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2026-03-05	UNITED MINE WORKERS OF AMERICA - COAL MINERS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2026-02-27	BUILD AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2026-02-26	AMERICAN FEDERATION OF GOVT. EMPL. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2026-02-25	GIVEGREEN UNITED ACTION	contributed_to	$53	pas2
2026-02-25	DMFI PAC	contributed_to	$381	pas2
2026-02-15	GIVEGREEN UNITED ACTION	contributed_to	$13	pas2
2026-02-13	WOMEN'S POLITICAL COMMITTEE FEDERAL	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2026-02-10	CONGRESS MAJORITY PAC	contributed_to	$200	pas2
2026-02-09	UNITED STEELWORKERS POLITICAL ACTION FUND	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2026-02-05	LEAGUE OF CONSERVATION VOTERS ACTION FUND	contributed_to	$50	pas2
2026-02-02	JUNTOS PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2026-01-29	EMILYS LIST	contributed_to	$100	pas2
2026-01-29	EMILYS LIST	contributed_to	$25	pas2
2026-01-25	EMILYS LIST	contributed_to	$25	pas2
2026-01-25	EMILYS LIST	contributed_to	$25	pas2
2026-01-23	SERVICE FIRST PAC	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2026-01-21	EMILYS LIST	contributed_to	$100	pas2
2026-01-19	EMILYS LIST	contributed_to	$500	pas2

Outbound (1)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	FRIENDS OF JANELLE STELSON	—		candidate_committees

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