ALVARADO, RALPH A
R · house
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- FEC candidate id
H6KY06192- Internal id
68da0fc7-2cc7-4769-b059-1b6aed2f7f4c- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), KY-06. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 761,688 |
| People | Median age | 37 |
| Income | Median household income | $68,266 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $38,776 |
| Income | In poverty | 14.5% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.6% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.475 |
| Race | White alone | 80.4% |
| Race | Black alone | 8.1% |
| Race | Asian alone | 2.3% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 6.5% |
| Race | Two or more races | 6.6% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 6.7% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 90.6% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 4.8% |
| Education | High school or higher | 63.7% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 36.7% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 15.4% |
| Household | Family households | 61.2% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.39 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 33.0% |
| Housing | Median home value | $249,600 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,053 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 65.2% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 2.7% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.8% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 7.6% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 5.9% |
| Health | With a disability | 15.5% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 90.4% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 6.5% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 75.6% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.8% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 11.1% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $1,175,185 | $720,018 | $455,167 | $57,245 | $995,000 |
Elections
- 2026 general house · KY-6 — running
Committees
- ALVARADO FOR KENTUCKY — principal · type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 20.1%
| Feature | Δ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $110,099 | $0 | 4 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-15 | GOPAC ELECTION FUND | support | $18,427 | DIGITAL MEDIA |
| 2026-05-11 | AMERICAN LIBERTY FOUNDATION | support | $25,633 | Direct Mail |
| 2026-05-08 | CONSERVATIVES FOR AMERICAN EXCELLENCE INC. | support | $50,000 | TEXT & DIGITAL ADVERTISEMENT |
| 2026-05-04 | GOPAC ELECTION FUND | support | $16,039 | DIRECT MAIL |
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
Top individual donors (2026 cycle)
Via this candidate's principal committee ALVARADO FOR KENTUCKY.
Aggregated from FEC Schedule A by donor (name + city + state). Employer + occupation reflect the donor's most recent gift. Source: FEC indiv bulk.
| Donor | Employer / occupation | City, ST | Gifts | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BROWN, JOHN IV | OAG · ATTORNEY | LOUISVILLE, KY | 1 | $1,500 |
| NIKNEJAD, TONY | STONES RIVER GROUP · PRINCIPAL | NASHVILLE, TN | 1 | $1,041 |
| LEVINE, ALAN | BALLAD HEALTH · HEALTH CARE | JOHNSON CITY, TN | 1 | $1,000 |
| TARKA, MATT | BURKE CPAS AND ADVISORS · PARTNER | EDGEWOOD, KY | 1 | $520 |
| SIEVEKING, NICHOLAS | SELF EMPLOYED · PLASTIC SURGEON | FRANKLIN, TN | 1 | $520 |
| RICHARDSON, WILLIAM | SELF EMPLOYED · PHYSICIAN | LEXINGTON, KY | 1 | $500 |
| HART, ROBERT | MOSSY CREEK WEALTH · WEALTH MANAGER | BRIDGEWATER, VA | 1 | $350 |
| TANNENBAUM, JEROME | SANDERLING RENAL SERVICES, INC · CEO | NASHVILLE, TN | 1 | $115 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (44)
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | principal_candidate_of | ALVARADO FOR KENTUCKY | — | candidate_committees |