DE LA CRUZ, CARLOS JR.
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H6TX35087- Internal id
cfab7de4-cbcc-47a0-af0e-7623db16e924- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), TX-35. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 819,409 |
| People | Median age | 33 |
| Income | Median household income | $73,088 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $36,885 |
| Income | In poverty | 16.3% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.6% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.449 |
| Race | White alone | 39.6% |
| Race | Black alone | 12.1% |
| Race | Asian alone | 3.6% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 53.7% |
| Race | Two or more races | 31.4% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 16.9% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 61.4% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 33.9% |
| Education | High school or higher | 57.1% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 32.9% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 11.3% |
| Household | Family households | 57.0% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.52 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 43.9% |
| Housing | Median home value | $300,800 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,495 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 55.8% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 3.5% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 5.3% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 7.1% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 6.7% |
| Health | With a disability | 13.5% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 92.0% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 5.0% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 67.1% |
| Commute | Public transit | 2.1% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 16.1% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $671,448 | $538,556 | $132,892 | $176,883 | $504,348 |
Elections
- 2026 general house Β· TX-35 β running
Committees
- CARLOS FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $1,700,483 | $0 | 20 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | STRONG PAC | support | $3,940 | TEXT MESSAGING (ESTIMATE) |
| 2026-05-08 | DEFENDING OUR VALUES PAC | support | $9,919 | Production - TV |
| 2026-05-08 | DEFENDING OUR VALUES PAC | support | $295,865 | Digital Ad Buy |
| 2026-05-08 | DEFENDING OUR VALUES PAC | support | $600,516 | TV - Buy |
| 2026-05-08 | DEFENDING OUR VALUES PAC | support | $66,669 | Mailer |
| 2026-05-08 | DEFENDING OUR VALUES PAC | support | $4,500 | Production - Digital |
| 2026-02-24 | DEFENDING OUR VALUES PAC | support | $53,088 | Mailers |
| 2026-02-24 | DEFENDING OUR VALUES PAC | support | $59,838 | Mailer |
| 2026-02-23 | DEFENDING OUR VALUES PAC | support | $175,535 | TV Ad Buy |
| 2026-02-23 | STRONG PAC | support | $3,603 | TEXT MESSAGING |
| 2026-02-20 | DEFENDING OUR VALUES PAC | support | $53,088 | Mailers |
| 2026-02-20 | DEFENDING OUR VALUES PAC | support | $7,488 | Production - Digital Ad |
| 2026-02-20 | DEFENDING OUR VALUES PAC | support | $3,000 | Production - Digital Ad |
| 2026-02-20 | DEFENDING OUR VALUES PAC | support | $127,694 | Ad Buy - Digital |
| 2026-02-18 | STRONG PAC | support | $3,940 | TEXT MESSAGING |
| 2026-02-18 | STRONG PAC | support | $30,234 | RADIO AD PLACEMENT |
| 2026-02-18 | STRONG PAC | support | $13,327 | AD PRODUCTION |
| 2026-02-18 | STRONG PAC | support | $35,302 | DIRECT MAIL SERVICE |
| 2026-02-18 | STRONG PAC | support | $87,937 | TV AD PLACEMENT |
| 2026-02-18 | STRONG PAC | support | $65,000 | DIGITAL AD PLACEMENT |
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-31 | SEAL TEAM PT PAC | 24K | $1,000 |
| 2026-03-26 | MONICA FOR CONGRESS | 24K | $2,000 |
| 2026-03-26 | KEEP TEXAS TEXAS PAC | 24K | $5,000 |
| 2026-03-20 | THE GUARDIAN FUND | 24K | $2,500 |
| 2026-03-17 | EMMER FOR CONGRESS | 24K | $2,000 |
| 2026-03-04 | MIKE JOHNSON FOR LOUISIANA | 24K | $2,000 |
| 2026-02-27 | RVFPAC | 24K | $2,000 |
| 2026-02-24 | DEFENDING OUR VALUES PAC | 24E | $53,087 |
| 2026-02-24 | DEFENDING OUR VALUES PAC | 24E | $59,837 |
| 2026-02-23 | DEFENDING OUR VALUES PAC | 24E | $175,535 |
| 2026-02-23 | STRONG PAC | 24E | $3,603 |
| 2026-02-23 | STRONG PAC | 24E | $3,735 |
| 2026-02-20 | DEFENDING OUR VALUES PAC | 24E | $7,488 |
| 2026-02-20 | DEFENDING OUR VALUES PAC | 24E | $3,000 |
| 2026-02-20 | DEFENDING OUR VALUES PAC | 24E | $53,087 |
| 2026-02-20 | DEFENDING OUR VALUES PAC | 24E | $127,694 |
| 2026-02-19 | AMERICAN REVIVAL PAC | 24K | $5,000 |
| 2026-02-19 | MIKE JOHNSON FOR LOUISIANA | 24K | $2,000 |
| 2026-02-18 | ELECTING MAJORITY MAKING EFFECTIVE REPUBLICANS β¦ | 24K | $5,000 |
| 2026-02-18 | STRONG PAC | 24E | $3,940 |
| 2026-02-18 | STRONG PAC | 24E | $35,301 |
| 2026-02-18 | STRONG PAC | 24E | $65,000 |
| 2026-02-18 | STRONG PAC | 24E | $13,327 |
| 2026-02-18 | STRONG PAC | 24E | $87,936 |
| 2026-02-18 | STRONG PAC | 24E | $30,234 |
Top individual donors (2026 cycle)
Via this candidate's principal committee CARLOS FOR CONGRESS.
Aggregated from FEC Schedule A by donor (name + city + state). Employer + occupation reflect the donor's most recent gift. Source: FEC indiv bulk.
| Donor | Employer / occupation | City, ST | Gifts | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PECK, VERA | RETIRED Β· RETIRED | DALLAS, TX | 2 | $7,000 |
| PECK, JOHN | RETIRED Β· RETIRED | DALLAS, TX | 2 | $7,000 |
| PATEL, NICK | RAVE GEARS Β· CEO | SEGUIN, TX | 1 | $3,500 |
| COVEY, PAUL | RETIRED Β· RETIRED | SAN ANTONIO, TX | 1 | $1,000 |
| KOSANDA, TOM | SELF-EMPLOYED Β· CONSULTANT | THE COLONY, TX | 1 | $1,000 |
| NICHOLSHYDE, DIANE | RETIRED Β· RETIRED | GREENWOOD, IN | 1 | $547 |
| LEONARD, SUSAN | NEST EGG REALTY Β· REAL ESTATE | BROOKLYN, NY | 2 | $500 |
| WHITE, PATRICIA J. | RETIRED Β· RETIRED | ABINGDON, VA | 1 | $500 |
| WILSON, MEG | RETIRED Β· RETIRED | AUSTIN, TX | 2 | $260 |
| HEITZ, MARK | RETIRED Β· RETIRED | TOPEKA, KS | 1 | $250 |
| LUGO, MARIO | TRENDSETTER ENGINEERING INC Β· TRENDSETTER | SPRING, TX | 1 | $250 |
| WILLIAMS, PAT | RETIRED Β· RETIRED | LUFKIN, TX | 1 | $250 |
| GEORGE, MICHAEL | RETIRED Β· RETIRED | KARNES CITY, TX | 1 | $100 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (59)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | STRONG PAC | supports_independently | $3,940 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-05-08 | DEFENDING OUR VALUES | supports_independently | $4,500 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-05-08 | DEFENDING OUR VALUES | supports_independently | $9,919 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-05-08 | DEFENDING OUR VALUES | supports_independently | $295,865 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-05-08 | DEFENDING OUR VALUES | supports_independently | $66,669 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-05-08 | DEFENDING OUR VALUES | supports_independently | $600,516 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-03-31 | SEAL TEAM PT PAC | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2026-03-26 | KEEP TEXAS TEXAS PAC | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2026-03-26 | MONICA FOR CONGRESS | contributed_to | $2,000 | pas2 | |
| 2026-03-20 | GUARDIAN POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2026-03-17 | EMMER FOR CONGRESS | contributed_to | $2,000 | pas2 | |
| 2026-03-04 | MIKE JOHNSON FOR LOUISIANA | contributed_to | $2,000 | pas2 | |
| 2026-02-27 | RVFPAC | contributed_to | $2,000 | pas2 | |
| 2026-02-24 | DEFENDING OUR VALUES | contributed_to | $53,087 | pas2 | |
| 2026-02-24 | DEFENDING OUR VALUES | contributed_to | $59,837 | pas2 | |
| 2026-02-24 | DEFENDING OUR VALUES | supports_independently | $53,088 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-02-24 | DEFENDING OUR VALUES | supports_independently | $59,838 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-02-23 | DEFENDING OUR VALUES | supports_independently | $175,535 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-02-23 | STRONG PAC | supports_independently | $3,603 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-02-23 | STRONG PAC | contributed_to | $3,603 | pas2 | |
| 2026-02-23 | STRONG PAC | contributed_to | $3,735 | pas2 | |
| 2026-02-23 | DEFENDING OUR VALUES | contributed_to | $175,535 | pas2 | |
| 2026-02-20 | DEFENDING OUR VALUES | contributed_to | $7,488 | pas2 | |
| 2026-02-20 | DEFENDING OUR VALUES | supports_independently | $53,088 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-02-20 | DEFENDING OUR VALUES | supports_independently | $127,694 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-02-20 | DEFENDING OUR VALUES | supports_independently | $7,488 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-02-20 | DEFENDING OUR VALUES | contributed_to | $3,000 | pas2 | |
| 2026-02-20 | DEFENDING OUR VALUES | contributed_to | $127,694 | pas2 | |
| 2026-02-20 | DEFENDING OUR VALUES | contributed_to | $53,087 | pas2 | |
| 2026-02-20 | DEFENDING OUR VALUES | supports_independently | $3,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-02-19 | AMERICAN REVIVAL PAC | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2026-02-19 | MIKE JOHNSON FOR LOUISIANA | contributed_to | $2,000 | pas2 | |
| 2026-02-18 | STRONG PAC | contributed_to | $35,301 | pas2 | |
| 2026-02-18 | STRONG PAC | supports_independently | $65,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-02-18 | STRONG PAC | supports_independently | $30,234 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-02-18 | STRONG PAC | contributed_to | $13,327 | pas2 | |
| 2026-02-18 | STRONG PAC | contributed_to | $87,936 | pas2 | |
| 2026-02-18 | STRONG PAC | contributed_to | $30,234 | pas2 | |
| 2026-02-18 | ELECTING MAJORITY MAKING EFFECTIVE REPUBLICANS PAC | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2026-02-18 | STRONG PAC | contributed_to | $3,940 | pas2 | |
| 2026-02-18 | RAPTOR PAC | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2026-02-18 | STRONG PAC | supports_independently | $3,940 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-02-18 | EMMER FOR CONGRESS | contributed_to | $2,000 | pas2 | |
| 2026-02-18 | STRONG PAC | contributed_to | $65,000 | pas2 | |
| 2026-02-18 | STRONG PAC | supports_independently | $35,302 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-02-18 | STRONG PAC | supports_independently | $13,327 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-02-18 | STRONG PAC | supports_independently | $87,937 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-02-17 | COMMERCIAL METALS COMPANY PAC (CMC PAC) | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2026-02-13 | BIG IDEAS CREATE EXCELLENCE PAC | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-12-31 | REPUBLICANS UNITED TO DEFEND YOU PAC | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-12-29 | TEXAS VALUES PAC | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-12-19 | WEBER FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $2,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-10-15 | HONOR COURAGE COMMITMENT PAC | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-10-03 | SEAL PAC SUPPORTING ELECTING AMERICAN LEADERS PAC | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-09-29 | FROGMAN PAC | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-09-22 | KEEP TEXAS TEXAS PAC | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-09-22 | MONICA FOR CONGRESS | contributed_to | $2,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-09-22 | MONICA FOR CONGRESS | contributed_to | $2,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-09-22 | KEEP TEXAS TEXAS PAC | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | CARLOS FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |