GREY, JAMES

I · president

FEC candidate id: P20002317
Internal id: 6422e544-461b-4b58-9580-a63cb3b14d93
Status: challenger

Elections

2012 general president — running
2012 general president — running
2012 general president — running
2012 general president — running
2012 general president — running
2012 general president — running
2012 general president — running
2012 general president — running
2012 general president — running

Committees

FRIENDS OF JAMES GREY 2012 — principal · type P

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 15.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Connected on the graph

1 typed relationship in the influence graph — 0 inbound, 1 outbound, grouped by type.

principal candidate of (1)

date	dir	entity	amount	role	source
—	→	FRIENDS OF JAMES GREY 2012	—		candidate_committees

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