BIDEN, JOE R
D Β· president
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- FEC candidate id
P60012143- Internal id
eafc21e9-f664-4b03-990e-530ec5b65eb9- Status
- open seat
Elections
- 2016 general president β running
- 2016 general president β running
- 2016 general president β running
- 2016 general president β running
- 2016 general president β running
- 2016 general president β running
- 2016 general president β running
Committees
No committees on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 20.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $0 | $25,000 | 2 |
| 2022 | $0 | $770,059 | 4 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-05-18 | SFA FUND, INC | oppose | $10,000 | ONLINE ADVERTISING/EMAIL COMMUNICATION/TEXT MESSAGING |
| 2023-04-28 | SFA FUND, INC | oppose | $15,000 | DIGITAL ADVERTISING |
| 2021-10-29 | AMERICAS PAC | oppose | $170,889 | Media Purchase |
| 2021-10-29 | AMERICAS PAC | oppose | $143,600 | Media Purchase |
| 2021-04-08 | AMERICAS PAC | oppose | $170,000 | Media Buy |
| 2021-04-08 | AMERICAS PAC | oppose | $285,570 | Media Purchase |
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-02-03 | INTERNATIONAL BROTHERHOOD OF TEAMSTERS | 24F | $48,356 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (8)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-05-18 | SFA FUND, INC | opposes_independently | $10,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2023-04-28 | SFA FUND, INC | opposes_independently | $15,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2021-10-29 | AMERICAS PAC | opposes_independently | $170,889 | fec_ies | |
| 2021-10-29 | AMERICAS PAC | opposes_independently | $143,600 | fec_ies | |
| 2021-04-08 | AMERICAS PAC | opposes_independently | $170,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2021-04-08 | AMERICAS PAC | opposes_independently | $285,570 | fec_ies | |
| 2021-02-03 | INTERNATIONAL BROTHERHOOD OF TEAMSTERS | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $48,356 | 24F | fec_pas2 |
| 2021-02-03 | INTERNATIONAL BROTHERHOOD OF TEAMSTERS | contributed_to | $48,356 | pas2 |