MOULTON, SETH

D · senate

FEC candidate id: S6MA00296
Internal id: 86f3b822-dbb0-4bb5-8ad6-7ff9ee2df36a
Status: challenger

Who this candidate represents (statewide)

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), Massachusetts. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	7,044,056
People	Median age	40
Income	Median household income	$103,960
Income	Per-capita income	$57,897
Income	In poverty	10.0%
Income	Unemployed	5.2%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.489
Race	White alone	68.6%
Race	Black alone	6.8%
Race	Asian alone	7.3%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	13.3%
Race	Two or more races	11.1%
Origin	Foreign-born	18.1%
Language	Speaks English only at home	74.9%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	9.7%
Education	High school or higher	69.8%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	47.3%
Education	Advanced degree	21.8%
Household	Family households	62.4%
Household	Avg household size	2.44
Household	Never married (15+)	37.7%
Housing	Median home value	$562,100
Housing	Median gross rent	$1,762
Housing	Single-family detached	51.1%
Housing	Built before 1940	5.1%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	2.3%
Housing	Vacant units	8.1%
Service	Veterans (18+)	4.3%
Health	With a disability	12.3%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	92.8%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	5.2%
Commute	Drove alone	61.2%
Commute	Public transit	6.5%
Commute	Worked from home	18.6%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2026	$4,255,419	$2,774,290	$3,331,467	$0	$3,951,789

Elections

2026 general senate · MA-S — running
2026 general senate · MA-S — running
2026 general senate · MA-S — running
2026 general senate · MA-S — running
2026 general senate · MA-S — running
2026 general senate · MA-S — running
2026 general senate · MA-S — running
2026 general senate · MA-S — running

Committees

SETH FOR MASSACHUSETTS, INC — principal · type S

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 23.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
D (major party)	+10.0%
senate race	-2.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

Cycle	Support	Oppose	IEs
2026	$0	$630,000	2

Recent (latest 25)

Date	Spender	For / against	Amount	Purpose
2026-05-06	COMMONWEALTH TOGETHER PAC	oppose	$280,000	Digital advertising
2026-04-01	COMMONWEALTH TOGETHER PAC	oppose	$350,000	Digital advertising

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2026-03-31	YINZER PAC	24K	$500
2026-03-26	NATIONAL COALITION OF TURKISH AMERICAN WOMEN'S …	24K	$1,000
2026-03-25	INTERNATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF HEAT AND FROST INS…	24K	$2,500
2026-02-12	THE COUNCIL OF INSURANCE AGENTS & BROKERS POLIT…	24K	$-5,000
2026-01-29	VOTEVETS	24K	$2,500
2026-01-28	VOTEVETS	24K	$-2,500
2025-12-23	INT'L ASSOCIATION OF BRIDGE, STRUCTURAL, ORNAME…	24K	$2,500
2025-12-22	AMERICAN SPORTFISHING ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACT…	24K	$500
2025-12-04	UTILITY WORKERS UNION OF AMERICA COPE	24K	$5,000
2025-12-04	VOTEVETS	24K	$2,500
2025-12-03	INTERNATIONAL BROTHERHOOD OF ELECTRICAL WORKERS…	24K	$5,000
2025-10-15	UNITED PARCEL SERVICE, INC. PAC (UPSPAC)	24K	$2,500
2025-09-09	GENERAL ELECTRIC COMPANY AEROSPACE EMPLOYEE POL…	24K	$3,500
2025-09-08	VOTEVETS	24K	$2,500
2025-08-15	INT'L ASSOCIATION OF BRIDGE, STRUCTURAL, ORNAME…	24K	$2,500
2025-08-12	I.B.E.W. LOCAL 103 FEDERAL POLITICAL ACTION COM…	24K	$4,000
2025-06-09	TOYOTA MOTOR NORTH AMERICA, INC POLITICAL ACTIO…	24K	$1,000

Top individual donors (2026 cycle)

Via this candidate's principal committee SETH FOR MASSACHUSETTS, INC.

Aggregated from FEC Schedule A by donor (name + city + state). Employer + occupation reflect the donor's most recent gift. Source: FEC indiv bulk.

Donor	Employer / occupation	City, ST	Gifts	Total
WHITE, DANIEL	RP MCCARTHY PC · MANAGEMENT	HINGHAM, MA	2	$10,500
SAMUELSON, PAUL	LIFEYIELD LLC · CIO	BOSTON, MA	2	$10,500
SAMUELSON, DAVID	BEACON BIOSIGNALS · BUSINESS DEVELOPMENT	SAN FRANCISCO, CA	2	$10,500
SAMUELSON, MARTHA	ANALYSIS GROUP · CHAIRMAN	BOSTON, MA	2	$10,500
MURPHY, MEGHAN	SELF EMPLOYED · PERSONAL ASSISTANT	NEWTON, MA	2	$10,500
AINSLIE, LEE	MAVERICK CAPITAL LTD. · INVESTMENT MANAGER	DALLAS, TX	2	$10,500
WHITE, LAUREN	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	HINGHAM, MA	2	$10,500
SILVERSTEIN, DEBORAH B.	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	NEWTON, MA	2	$10,000
ISRAEL, BARBARA F.	BARBARA ISRAEL GARDEN ANTIQUES · ANTIQUES DEALER	NEW YORK, NY	2	$9,500
CHRISTODOULO, PETER G.	FRANCISCO PARTNERS · FINANCE	SAN FRANCISCO, CA	2	$7,200
CHRISTODOULO, AMY	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	SAN FRANCISCO, CA	2	$7,200
O'NEIL, FORD EDWARD	FIDELITY INVESTMENTS · PORTFOLIO MANAGER	MANCHESTER-BY-THE-SEA, MA	2	$7,200
O'NEIL, KATHRYN P.	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	MANCHESTER-BY-THE-SEA, MA	2	$7,200
HOOPER, LEILA A.	WALTHAM BOYS AND GIRLS CLUB · BOARD MEMBER	WESTON, MA	2	$7,000
HANKIN, MICHAEL D.	BROWN ADVISORY · CO-CEO	BALTIMORE, MD	2	$7,000
TSAI, WALLIS	ABOVEBOARD FINANCIAL · FOUNDER & CEO	NEW YORK, NY	2	$7,000
CONWAY, KAREN SWETT	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	BOSTON, MA	2	$7,000
CONWAY, BRIAN J.	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	BOSTON, MA	2	$7,000
HANKIN, ANN D.	RETIRED · RETIRED	BALTIMORE, MD	2	$7,000
DRISCOLL, LAUREN	NOURISHED RX · CEO	STAMFORD, CT	2	$6,500
KRUPP, DOUGLAS	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	BOSTON, MA	2	$6,500
KRUPP, JUDITH	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	WESTON, MA	2	$6,500
WEATHERS, ALLYSON	N/A · NOT EMPLOYED	HOUSTON, TX	2	$4,700
HURST, ALEX	PALATINE CAPITAL PARTNERS · MANAGING MEMBER	MIAMI BEACH, FL	2	$4,500
PECHTER, RICHARD S.	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	SUMMIT, NJ	2	$3,800

Connected on the graph

Inbound (19)

date	from	type	amount	source
2026-05-06	COMMONWEALTH TOGETHER PAC	opposes_independently	$280,000	fec_ies
2026-04-01	COMMONWEALTH TOGETHER PAC	opposes_independently	$350,000	fec_ies
2026-03-31	YINZER PAC	contributed_to	$500	pas2
2026-03-26	NATIONAL COALITION OF TURKISH AMERICAN WOMEN'S PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2026-03-25	INTERNATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF HEAT AND FROST INSULATORS AND ALLIED WORKERS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2026-02-12	THE COUNCIL OF INSURANCE AGENTS & BROKERS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$-5,000	pas2
2026-01-29	VOTEVETS	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2026-01-28	VOTEVETS	contributed_to	$-2,500	pas2
2025-12-23	INT'L ASSOCIATION OF BRIDGE, STRUCTURAL, ORNAMENTAL AND REINFORCING IRON WORKERS (IPAL)	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2025-12-22	AMERICAN SPORTFISHING ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$500	pas2
2025-12-04	UTILITY WORKERS UNION OF AMERICA COPE	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2025-12-04	VOTEVETS	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2025-12-03	INTERNATIONAL BROTHERHOOD OF ELECTRICAL WORKERS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2025-10-15	UNITED PARCEL SERVICE, INC. PAC (UPSPAC)	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2025-09-09	GENERAL ELECTRIC COMPANY AEROSPACE EMPLOYEE POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (GE AEROSPACE PAC)	contributed_to	$3,500	pas2
2025-09-08	VOTEVETS	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2025-08-15	INT'L ASSOCIATION OF BRIDGE, STRUCTURAL, ORNAMENTAL AND REINFORCING IRON WORKERS (IPAL)	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2025-08-12	I.B.E.W. LOCAL 103 FEDERAL POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$4,000	pas2
2025-06-09	TOYOTA MOTOR NORTH AMERICA, INC POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (TOYOTA/LEXUS PAC)	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2

Outbound (1)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	SETH FOR MASSACHUSETTS, INC	—		candidate_committees

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