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JOHNSON II, CRAIG MR II

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canonical · johnson ii/craig/ii · 1 alias · 0 outbound · 4 inbound

FEC candidate — JOHNSON II, CRAIG MR II

I · president · FEC P80007230

Elections (24)
  • 2028 general presidentrunning
  • 2028 general presidentrunning
  • 2028 general presidentrunning
  • 2028 general presidentrunning
  • 2028 general presidentrunning
  • 2028 general presidentrunning
  • 2028 general presidentrunning
  • 2028 general presidentrunning
  • 2028 general presidentrunning
  • 2028 general presidentrunning
  • 2028 general presidentrunning
  • 2028 general presidentrunning
  • 2028 general presidentrunning
  • 2028 general presidentrunning
  • 2028 general presidentrunning
  • 2028 general presidentrunning
  • 2028 general presidentrunning
  • 2028 general presidentrunning
  • 2028 general presidentrunning
  • 2028 general presidentrunning
  • 2028 general presidentrunning
  • 2028 general presidentrunning
  • 2028 general presidentrunning
  • 2028 general presidentrunning
Committees (0)

No committees on file.

Election prediction

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 15.1%

FeatureΔ P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures for/against

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

CycleSupportOpposeIEs
2026$320$04

Recent (latest 25)

DateSpenderFor / againstAmountPurpose
2025-04-17CRAIG H JOHNSON IIsupport$80Membership- video equipment, discount on venue
2025-04-17CRAIG H JOHNSON IIsupport$80Membership- video equipment, discount on venue
2025-04-17CRAIG H JOHNSON IIsupport$80Membership- video equipment, discount on venue
2025-04-17CRAIG H JOHNSON IIsupport$80Membership- video equipment, discount on venue
Coordinated party expenditures
Committee assignments
Congressional staff (offices this person hires)
STOCK Act trades
Timeline

Every typed-graph event involving this entity, newest first. Each row is one edge in the influence graph; the inline strip under the row shows the counterpart's own context (a bill's latest action, a hearing's chamber + date, a filing's form type + filed date, a clip's source + excerpt) so the timeline reads like a Wikipedia citation rail.

  1. 2025-04-17 · received IE support from CRAIG H JOHNSON II $80 · fec_ies
  2. 2025-04-17 · received IE support from CRAIG H JOHNSON II $80 · fec_ies
  3. 2025-04-17 · received IE support from CRAIG H JOHNSON II $80 · fec_ies
  4. 2025-04-17 · received IE support from CRAIG H JOHNSON II $80 · fec_ies

Connected on the graph

4 typed relationships in the influence graph — 4 inbound, 0 outbound, grouped by type.

supports independently (4)
datedirentityamountrolesource
2025-04-17CRAIG H JOHNSON II$80fec_ies
2025-04-17CRAIG H JOHNSON II$80fec_ies
2025-04-17CRAIG H JOHNSON II$80fec_ies
2025-04-17CRAIG H JOHNSON II$80fec_ies
Aliases (1)
sourceidname at sourcejurisdictionconfidencelinked bylinked at
fecP80007230JOHNSON II, CRAIG MR IIUSbronzebackfill_0028
News clips about this person
Mentioned in /ask threads

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