WELCH, STEVEN D
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canonical · welch/steven · 1 alias · 1 outbound · 0 inbound
FEC candidate — WELCH, STEVEN D
R · house · open seat · FEC H0PA07074
Cycle financials (7)
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $0 | $0 | $26 | $250,000 | $0 |
| 2020 | $0 | $0 | $26 | $250,000 | $0 |
| 2018 | $0 | $0 | $26 | $250,000 | $0 |
| 2016 | $0 | $0 | $26 | $250,000 | $0 |
| 2014 | $0 | $579 | $26 | $250,000 | $0 |
| 2012 | $1,451,722 | $1,453,957 | $605 | $250,000 | $419,281 |
| 2010 | $815,594 | $812,754 | $2,840 | $0 | $151,706 |
Elections (1)
- 2010 general house · PA-7 — lost_general
Committees (1)
- FRIENDS OF STEVEN WELCH — principal · type S
Election prediction
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 20.1%
| Feature | Δ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures for/against
Coordinated party expenditures
Top individual donors — FRIENDS OF STEVEN WELCH
Committee assignments
Congressional staff (offices this person hires)
STOCK Act trades
Timeline
Every typed-graph event involving this entity, newest first. Each row is one edge in the influence graph; the inline strip under the row shows the counterpart's own context (a bill's latest action, a hearing's chamber + date, a filing's form type + filed date, a clip's source + excerpt) so the timeline reads like a Wikipedia citation rail.
- 2026-05-17 · is the candidate's principal committee FRIENDS OF STEVEN WELCH · candidate_committees
Connected on the graph
1 typed relationship in the influence graph — 0 inbound, 1 outbound, grouped by type.
principal candidate of (1)
| date | dir | entity | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | → | FRIENDS OF STEVEN WELCH | — | candidate_committees |
Aliases (1)
| source | id | name at source | jurisdiction | confidence | linked by | linked at |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| fec | H0PA07074 | WELCH, STEVEN D | US | bronze | backfill_0028 |