WATERBURY, ALLEY

canonical · waterbury/alley · 1 alias · 1 outbound · 0 inbound

FEC candidate — WATERBURY, ALLEY

R · house · challenger · FEC H0MN05194

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2020	$6,168	$5,160	$0	$0	$6,168

Elections

2020 general house · MN-5 — lost_general

Committees

ALLEY WATERBURY FOR US CONGRESS CAMPAIGN COMMITTEE C/O LEO PHILBEN — principal · type H

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
R (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Activity

Every typed-graph event involving this entity, newest first. Each row is one edge in the influence graph; click the date to jump to its provenance.

2026-05-17 · is the candidate's principal committee ALLEY WATERBURY FOR US CONGRESS CAMPAIGN COMMITTEE C/O LEO PHILBEN · candidate_committees

The full graph

Every typed relationship touching this entity — 1 edge across 1 category. Grouped by what the connection is; the heaviest few are shown, with a link to the full list.

Elections

→ Principal candidate of 1 edge

ALLEY WATERBURY FOR US CONGRESS CAMPAIGN COMMITTEE C/O LEO PHILBEN

Aliases (1)

source	id	name at source	jurisdiction	confidence	linked by	linked at
fec	H0MN05194	WATERBURY, ALLEY	US	bronze	backfill_0028	2026-05-17

Connected on the graph

1 typed relationship in the influence graph — 0 inbound, 1 outbound, grouped by type.

principal candidate of (1)

date	dir	entity	amount	role	source
—	→	ALLEY WATERBURY FOR US CONGRESS CAMPAIGN COMMITTEE C/O LEO PHILBEN	—		candidate_committees

pac.dog is a free, independent, non-partisan research tool. Every candidate, committee, bill, vote, member, and nonprofit on this site is mirrored from primary U.S. government sources (FEC, congress.gov, govinfo.gov, IRS) and each state's Secretary of State / election commission — no third-party data vendors, no paywall, no editorial intermediation. Citations to the originating source are on every detail page.