WILLIAMSON, MICHAEL DALE
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canonical · williamson/michael · 2 aliases · 2 outbound · 1 inbound
FEC candidate — WILLIAMSON, MICHAEL DALE
D · house · challenger · FEC H8CA42210
Elections (3)
Committees (2)
- ELECT MICHAEL WILLIAMSON — principal · type H
- ELECT MICHAEL WILLIAMSON — principal · type H
Election prediction
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Δ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures for/against
Coordinated party expenditures
Top individual donors — ELECT MICHAEL WILLIAMSON
Top individual donors — ELECT MICHAEL WILLIAMSON
Committee assignments
Congressional staff (offices this person hires)
STOCK Act trades
Timeline
Every typed-graph event involving this entity, newest first. Each row is one edge in the influence graph; the inline strip under the row shows the counterpart's own context (a bill's latest action, a hearing's chamber + date, a filing's form type + filed date, a clip's source + excerpt) so the timeline reads like a Wikipedia citation rail.
- 2026-05-24 · principal committee is Williamson for Virginia · va_committee
- 2026-05-17 · is the candidate's principal committee ELECT MICHAEL WILLIAMSON · candidate_committees
- 2026-05-17 · is the candidate's principal committee ELECT MICHAEL WILLIAMSON · candidate_committees
Connected on the graph
3 typed relationships in the influence graph — 1 inbound, 2 outbound, grouped by type.
principal candidate of (3)
| date | dir | entity | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | ← | Williamson for Virginia | — | va_committee | |
| — | → | ELECT MICHAEL WILLIAMSON | — | candidate_committees | |
| — | → | ELECT MICHAEL WILLIAMSON | — | candidate_committees |
Aliases (2)
| source | id | name at source | jurisdiction | confidence | linked by | linked at |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| va_candidate | CC-26-00088 | Michael Williamson | VA | gold | sync_canonical_entities | |
| fec | H8CA42210 | WILLIAMSON, MICHAEL DALE | US | bronze | backfill_0028 |