FLEMING, BRIDGET

D · house

FEC candidate id: H0NY01202
Internal id: 6b5bcb67-a70c-4916-b8ef-081e9c184b19
Status: challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NY-01. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	778,092
People	Median age	44
Income	Median household income	$134,242
Income	Per-capita income	$63,494
Income	In poverty	6.2%
Income	Unemployed	4.6%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.457
Race	White alone	74.1%
Race	Black alone	4.6%
Race	Asian alone	5.4%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	15.3%
Race	Two or more races	10.3%
Origin	Foreign-born	13.5%
Language	Speaks English only at home	81.0%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	9.6%
Education	High school or higher	69.2%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	46.5%
Education	Advanced degree	22.2%
Household	Family households	71.7%
Household	Avg household size	2.75
Household	Never married (15+)	31.7%
Housing	Median home value	$628,600
Housing	Median gross rent	$2,309
Housing	Single-family detached	82.0%
Housing	Built before 1940	3.6%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	1.6%
Housing	Vacant units	15.9%
Service	Veterans (18+)	4.4%
Health	With a disability	10.4%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	93.9%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	4.2%
Commute	Drove alone	71.5%
Commute	Public transit	4.6%
Commute	Worked from home	14.4%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2024	$7,032	$29,379	$0	$0	$0
2022	$2,690,504	$2,679,870	$22,346	$0	$2,355,789
2020	$892,367	$880,655	$11,712	$0	$871,775

Elections

2020 general house · NY-1 — lost_general
2022 general house · NY-1 — lost_general

Committees

BRIDGET FLEMING FOR CONGRESS — principal · type H

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
D (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

Cycle	Support	Oppose	IEs
2022	$0	$48,375	3

Recent (latest 25)

Date	Spender	For / against	Amount	Purpose
2022-10-24	AMERICAN LEADERSHIP PAC	oppose	$35,250	Digital Advertising
2022-10-21	THE GOVERNING MAJORITY FUND	oppose	$5,938	voter contact/messaging services
2022-10-21	THE GOVERNING MAJORITY FUND	oppose	$7,188	voter contact/messaging services

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2022-11-10	INTERNATIONAL BROTHERHOOD OF TEAMSTERS	24F	$3,622
2022-11-08	AMERICAN FEDERATION OF TEACHERS, AFL-CIO	24F	$2,011
2022-11-02	DCCC	24K	$5,000
2022-11-02	WOLVERINE PAC	24K	$1,000
2022-11-02	UAW - V - CAP (UAW VOLUNTARY COMMUNITY ACTION P…	24K	$5,000
2022-11-02	DEMOCRACY ENGINE, INC., PAC	24K	$50
2022-11-01	DEMOCRATS UNITED TO CHANGE AND HOPE PAC	24K	$1,000
2022-10-31	MAD 4 PA PAC	24K	$1,000
2022-10-31	PROGRESSIVE CHOICES PAC	24K	$1,000
2022-10-31	AMERICAN FEDERATION OF STATE COUNTY & MUNICIPAL…	24K	$5,000
2022-10-30	DEMOCRACY ENGINE, INC., PAC	24K	$20
2022-10-30	DEMOCRACY ENGINE, INC., PAC	24K	$25
2022-10-28	ADAM SMITH FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEE	24K	$2,000
2022-10-28	NEW YORK STATE AFL-CIO	24F	$381
2022-10-27	PLANNED PARENTHOOD ACTION FUND INC PAC, DBA PLA…	24K	$2,500
2022-10-27	LABORERS' INTERNATIONAL UNION OF NORTH AMERICA …	24K	$2,500
2022-10-27	OFFICE AND PROFESSIONAL EMPLOYEES INTERNATIONAL…	24K	$2,500
2022-10-26	NEW YORK STATE AFL-CIO	24F	$617
2022-10-26	DEMOCRACY ENGINE, INC., PAC	24K	$2,000
2022-10-26	DEMOCRACY ENGINE, INC., PAC	24K	$10
2022-10-26	NEW YORK STATE AFL-CIO	24F	$505
2022-10-26	NEW YORK STATE AFL-CIO	24F	$2,940
2022-10-25	PROGRESSIVE AMERICANS FOR DEMOCRACY	24K	$1,500
2022-10-24	AMERICAN LEADERSHIP PAC	24A	$35,250
2022-10-21	PROGRESSIVE TURNOUT PROJECT	24Z	$1,250

Connected on the graph

Inbound (100)

date	from	type	amount	source
2022-11-10	INTERNATIONAL BROTHERHOOD OF TEAMSTERS	contributed_to	$3,622	pas2
2022-11-08	AMERICAN FEDERATION OF TEACHERS AFL-CIO	contributed_to	$2,011	pas2
2022-11-02	UAW - V - CAP (UAW VOLUNTARY COMMUNITY ACTION PROGRAM) 'INT'L UNION UNITED AUTOMOBILE AEROSPACE & AGRICULTURAL IMPLEMENT WORKERS OF AMERICA UAW	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-11-02	WOLVERINE PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-11-02	DEMOCRACY ENGINE, INC., PAC	contributed_to	$50	pas2
2022-11-02	DCCC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-11-01	DEMOCRATS UNITED TO CHANGE AND HOPE PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-10-31	AMERICAN FEDERATION OF STATE COUNTY & MUNICIPAL EMPLOYEES P E O P L E	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-10-31	PROGRESSIVE CHOICES PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-10-31	MAD 4 PA PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-10-30	DEMOCRACY ENGINE, INC., PAC	contributed_to	$25	pas2
2022-10-30	DEMOCRACY ENGINE, INC., PAC	contributed_to	$20	pas2
2022-10-28	NEW YORK STATE AFL-CIO	contributed_to	$381	pas2
2022-10-28	ADAM SMITH FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-10-27	OFFICE AND PROFESSIONAL EMPLOYEES INTERNATIONAL UNION (OPEIU) JB MOSS VOICE OF THE ELECTORATE (VOTE)	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-10-27	LABORERS' INTERNATIONAL UNION OF NORTH AMERICA (LIUNA) PAC	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-10-27	PLANNED PARENTHOOD ACTION FUND INC PAC, DBA PLANNED PARENTHOOD FEDERAL PAC	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-10-26	NEW YORK STATE AFL-CIO	contributed_to	$2,940	pas2
2022-10-26	DEMOCRACY ENGINE, INC., PAC	contributed_to	$10	pas2
2022-10-26	NEW YORK STATE AFL-CIO	contributed_to	$505	pas2
2022-10-26	DEMOCRACY ENGINE, INC., PAC	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-10-26	NEW YORK STATE AFL-CIO	contributed_to	$617	pas2
2022-10-25	PROGRESSIVE AMERICANS FOR DEMOCRACY	contributed_to	$1,500	pas2
2022-10-24	AMERICAN LEADERSHIP PAC	contributed_to	$35,250	pas2
2022-10-24	AMERICAN LEADERSHIP PAC	opposes_independently	$35,250	fec_ies
2022-10-21	UNITED FOOD & COMMERCIAL WORKERS INTERNATIONAL UNION	contributed_to	$3,858	pas2
2022-10-21	PROGRESSIVE TURNOUT PROJECT	contributed_to	$1,250	pas2
2022-10-21	PROGRESSIVE TURNOUT PROJECT	contributed_to	$1,250	pas2
2022-10-21	THE GOVERNING MAJORITY FUND	opposes_independently	$5,938	fec_ies
2022-10-21	THE GOVERNING MAJORITY FUND	contributed_to	$5,937	pas2
2022-10-21	THE GOVERNING MAJORITY FUND	contributed_to	$7,187	pas2
2022-10-21	1199 SEIU UNITED HEALTHCARE WORKERS EAST FEDERAL POLITICAL ACTION FUND	contributed_to	$55,484	pas2
2022-10-21	THE GOVERNING MAJORITY FUND	opposes_independently	$7,188	fec_ies
2022-10-19	ONWARD TOGETHER COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-10-18	DEMOCRACY ACTION NOW PAC	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-10-18	MOVEON.ORG POLITICAL ACTION	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-10-18	NEW YORK STATE AFL-CIO	contributed_to	$381	pas2
2022-10-17	UNITED FOOD AND COMMERCIAL WORKERS INTERNATIONAL UNION ACTIVE BALLOT CLUB	contributed_to	$1,500	pas2
2022-10-17	NATIONAL RIFLE ASSOCIATION INSTITUTE FOR LEGISLATIVE ACTION	contributed_to	$122	pas2
2022-10-17	NATIONAL RIFLE ASSOCIATION INSTITUTE FOR LEGISLATIVE ACTION	contributed_to	$46	pas2
2022-10-14	IMPACT	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-10-14	SCHIFF FOR SENATE	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-10-12	UA UNION PLUMBERS & PIPEFITTERS VOTE! PAC (UNITED ASSOCIATION OF JOURNEYMEN AND APPRENTICES OF THE PLUMBING & PIPEFITTING INDUSTRY OF THE UNITED STATES AND CANADA)	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-10-12	GIVEGREEN UNITED ACTION	contributed_to	$1	pas2
2022-10-11	NEW YORK STATE AFL-CIO	contributed_to	$5,736	pas2
2022-10-06	MOVEON.ORG POLITICAL ACTION	contributed_to	$127	pas2
2022-10-06	AMERICAN POSTAL WORKERS UNION COMMITTEE ON POLITICAL ACTION	contributed_to	$1,500	pas2
2022-10-05	CITIZENS TO ELECT RICK LARSEN	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-10-04	GIVEGREEN UNITED ACTION	contributed_to	$40	pas2
2022-10-04	NEW DEMOCRAT COALITION ACTION FUND	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-10-03	TRI-STATE MAXED-OUT WOMEN	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-09-29	LATINO LEADERS FOR EQUALITY, GROWTH, OPPORTUNITY, PROGRESSIVE ACTION & CHANGE (LLEGO-PAC)	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-09-29	AMERIPAC: THE FUND FOR A GREATER AMERICA	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-09-29	INTERNATIONAL BROTHERHOOD OF ELECTRICAL WORKERS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-09-29	LA BAMBA PAC	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-09-29	HUMAN RIGHTS CAMPAIGN PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-09-29	MAKING A DIFFERENCE PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-09-29	GRACE FOR NEW YORK	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-09-28	CHC BOLD PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-09-28	JOBS, EDUCATION, & FAMILIES FIRST JEFF PAC	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-09-28	BUILD AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-09-27	EQUALITY LEADERSHIP FUND	contributed_to	$1,500	pas2
2022-09-27	PAC FOR A DEMOCRATIC FUTURE	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-09-27	COMMUNICATIONS WORKERS OF AMERICA - COPE POLITICAL CONTRIBUTIONS COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-09-27	PROGRESSIVE TURNOUT PROJECT	contributed_to	$1,250	pas2
2022-09-27	PROGRESSIVE TURNOUT PROJECT	contributed_to	$1,250	pas2
2022-09-26	VPP	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-09-26	LEAGUE OF CONSERVATION VOTERS ACTION FUND	contributed_to	$10	pas2
2022-09-26	DELGADO FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-09-23	POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE OF THE INTERNATIONAL ALLIANCE OF THEATRICAL STAGE EMPLOYEES	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-09-23	NATIONAL ELEVATOR CONSTRUCTORS PAC/ INTN'L UNION OF ELEVATOR CONSTRUCTORS (NEC PAC)	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-09-23	JAIME HARRISON FOR US SENATE	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-09-23	1199 SEIU UNITED HEALTHCARE WORKERS EAST FEDERAL POLITICAL ACTION FUND	contributed_to	$108,714	pas2
2022-09-22	INTERNATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF SHEET METAL, AIR, RAIL AND TRANSPORTATION WORKERS POLITICAL ACTION LEAGUE	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-09-22	DEMOCRATS WIN SEATS (DWS PAC)	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-09-21	SUPPORTING HOUSE PROBLEM SOLVERS - SHP PAC	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-09-21	PAUL TONKO FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-09-20	AMERICAN FEDERATION OF TEACHERS, AFL-CIO COMMITTEE ON POLITICAL EDUCATION	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-09-19	AMERIPAC: THE FUND FOR A GREATER AMERICA	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-09-19	HOYER FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-09-15	PROTECT THE VOTE	contributed_to	$1,500	pas2
2022-09-13	PLANNED PARENTHOOD ACTION FUND INC PAC, DBA PLANNED PARENTHOOD FEDERAL PAC	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-09-13	EVERGREEN FUND	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-09-12	PETE AGUILAR FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-09-12	NEW DEMOCRAT COALITION ACTION FUND	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-09-09	SIERRA CLUB INDEPENDENT ACTION	contributed_to	$10	pas2
2022-09-09	ADVANCING DEMOCRACY AND MOBILIZATION PAC	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-09-06	TRI-STATE MAXED-OUT WOMEN	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-09-02	AMERICAN ASSOCIATION FOR JUSTICE POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (AAJ PAC)	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-09-01	OFF THE SIDELINES PAC	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-08-31	NITA LOWEY FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-08-31	JAMIE RASKIN FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-08-26	FRIENDS OF DON BEYER	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-08-25	AMERICAN FEDERATION OF GOVT. EMPL. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,500	pas2
2022-08-24	LEAGUE OF CONSERVATION VOTERS ACTION FUND	contributed_to	$50	pas2
2022-08-24	AMALGAMATED TRANSIT UNION - COPE	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-08-23	LEAGUE OF CONSERVATION VOTERS ACTION FUND	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-08-23	DEMOCRATS WIN SEATS (DWS PAC)	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-08-22	JOBS, EDUCATION, & FAMILIES FIRST JEFF PAC	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-08-22	DCCC	contributed_to	$4,904	pas2

Outbound (1)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	BRIDGET FLEMING FOR CONGRESS	—		candidate_committees

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