CASTELLI, MATT
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H2NY21164- Internal id
38e41f2e-a989-4755-b697-580848bb19ae- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NY-21. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 770,419 |
| People | Median age | 42 |
| Income | Median household income | $70,983 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $38,135 |
| Income | In poverty | 13.1% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.4% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.441 |
| Race | White alone | 89.7% |
| Race | Black alone | 2.3% |
| Race | Asian alone | 1.0% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 3.8% |
| Race | Two or more races | 4.8% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 3.3% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 94.4% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 1.9% |
| Education | High school or higher | 59.6% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 26.2% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 11.3% |
| Household | Family households | 61.9% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.27 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 31.4% |
| Housing | Median home value | $180,600 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $973 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 70.4% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 5.6% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.4% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 20.3% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 8.0% |
| Health | With a disability | 16.4% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 88.6% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 8.7% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 76.5% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.4% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 9.2% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $0 | $6,783 | $74,700 | $0 | $0 |
| 2024 | $982 | $20,034 | $81,483 | $0 | $0 |
| 2022 | $2,525,046 | $2,424,511 | $100,535 | $0 | $2,474,547 |
Elections
- 2022 general house Β· NY-21 β lost_general
Committees
- MATT CASTELLI FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-11-07 | JOBS, EDUCATION, & FAMILIES FIRST JEFF PAC | 24K | $2,500 |
| 2022-11-07 | DEMOCRACY DEFENSE FUND | 24K | $5,000 |
| 2022-11-02 | AMERICAN FEDERATION OF TEACHERS, AFL-CIO COMMIT⦠| 24K | $2,000 |
| 2022-11-02 | UAW - V - CAP (UAW VOLUNTARY COMMUNITY ACTION P⦠| 24K | $5,000 |
| 2022-10-27 | JOBS, EDUCATION, & FAMILIES FIRST JEFF PAC | 24K | $2,500 |
| 2022-10-07 | MAKING A DIFFERENCE PAC | 24K | $1,000 |
| 2022-09-29 | GRACE FOR NEW YORK | 24K | $1,000 |
| 2022-09-29 | PROGRESSIVES ADVANCING UNITED LEADERSHIP PAC | 24K | $2,000 |
| 2022-09-12 | IMPACT | 24K | $5,000 |
| 2022-09-06 | FRIENDS OF DON BEYER | 24K | $2,000 |
| 2022-08-25 | PAUL TONKO FOR CONGRESS | 24K | $2,000 |
| 2022-06-23 | VOTEVETS | 24K | $2,500 |
| 2022-03-21 | VOTEVETS | 24K | $5,000 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (13)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-11-07 | JOBS, EDUCATION, & FAMILIES FIRST JEFF PAC | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-07 | DEMOCRACY DEFENSE FUND | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-02 | UAW - V - CAP (UAW VOLUNTARY COMMUNITY ACTION PROGRAM) 'INT'L UNION UNITED AUTOMOBILE AEROSPACE & AGRICULTURAL IMPLEMENT WORKERS OF AMERICA UAW | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-02 | AMERICAN FEDERATION OF TEACHERS, AFL-CIO COMMITTEE ON POLITICAL EDUCATION | contributed_to | $2,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-27 | JOBS, EDUCATION, & FAMILIES FIRST JEFF PAC | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-07 | MAKING A DIFFERENCE PAC | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-09-29 | PROGRESSIVES ADVANCING UNITED LEADERSHIP PAC | contributed_to | $2,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-09-29 | GRACE FOR NEW YORK | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-09-12 | IMPACT | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-09-06 | FRIENDS OF DON BEYER | contributed_to | $2,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-25 | PAUL TONKO FOR CONGRESS | contributed_to | $2,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-06-23 | VOTEVETS | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-21 | VOTEVETS | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | MATT CASTELLI FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |