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PERCLE, CLAY

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canonical Β· percle/clay Β· 1 alias Β· 1 outbound Β· 3 inbound

FEC candidate β€” PERCLE, CLAY

R Β· house Β· challenger Β· FEC H2VA10158

Cycle financials (1)

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

CycleRaisedSpentCash on handDebtsIndiv. contribs.
2022$64,756$64,756$0$0$39,733
Elections (1)
  • 2022 general house Β· VA-10 β€” lost_general
Committees (1)
Election prediction

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
R (major party)+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures for/against
Coordinated party expenditures

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

DateFrom committeeTypeAmount
2021-11-24WINRED24K$-15
2021-11-24WINRED24K$-15
2021-08-13WINRED24K$-28
Top individual donors β€” CLAY FOR VIRGINIA
Committee assignments
Congressional staff (offices this person hires)
STOCK Act trades
Timeline

Every typed-graph event involving this entity, newest first. Each row is one edge in the influence graph; the inline strip under the row shows the counterpart's own context (a bill's latest action, a hearing's chamber + date, a filing's form type + filed date, a clip's source + excerpt) so the timeline reads like a Wikipedia citation rail.

  1. 2026-05-17 Β· is the candidate's principal committee CLAY FOR VIRGINIA Β· candidate_committees
  2. 2021-11-24 Β· received contribution from WINRED $-15 Β· pas2
  3. 2021-11-24 Β· received contribution from WINRED $-15 Β· pas2
  4. 2021-08-13 Β· received contribution from WINRED $-28 Β· pas2

Connected on the graph

4 typed relationships in the influence graph β€” 3 inbound, 1 outbound, grouped by type.

contributed to (3)
datedirentityamountrolesource
2021-11-24←WINRED$-15pas2
2021-11-24←WINRED$-15pas2
2021-08-13←WINRED$-28pas2
principal candidate of (1)
datedirentityamountrolesource
β€”β†’CLAY FOR VIRGINIAβ€”candidate_committees
Aliases (1)
sourceidname at sourcejurisdictionconfidencelinked bylinked at
fecH2VA10158PERCLE, CLAYUSbronzebackfill_0028
News clips about this person
Mentioned in /ask threads

Canonical: https://pac.dog/persons/5a32deb6-971b-415b-88e7-262438276e33

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