MITCHELL, JOE

R · house

FEC candidate id: H6IA02237
Internal id: 33f3ca16-66fd-411e-a819-ce91f3c09a51
Status: open seat

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), IA-02. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	795,370
People	Median age	40
Income	Median household income	$73,764
Income	Per-capita income	$40,483
Income	In poverty	10.4%
Income	Unemployed	3.4%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.440
Race	White alone	87.2%
Race	Black alone	4.0%
Race	Asian alone	1.6%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	4.1%
Race	Two or more races	5.2%
Origin	Foreign-born	4.1%
Language	Speaks English only at home	93.9%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	2.5%
Education	High school or higher	61.4%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	29.2%
Education	Advanced degree	9.6%
Household	Family households	61.9%
Household	Avg household size	2.32
Household	Never married (15+)	30.9%
Housing	Median home value	$197,900
Housing	Median gross rent	$912
Housing	Single-family detached	74.8%
Housing	Built before 1940	4.8%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	1.4%
Housing	Vacant units	8.9%
Service	Veterans (18+)	6.9%
Health	With a disability	12.6%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	89.2%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	7.8%
Commute	Drove alone	77.1%
Commute	Public transit	0.4%
Commute	Worked from home	11.2%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2026	$1,336,146	$457,408	$878,738	$100,000	$1,077,786

Elections

2026 general house · IA-2 — running

Committees

JOE MITCHELL FOR CONGRESS — principal · type H

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 20.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
R (major party)	+10.0%
open seat	-5.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

Cycle	Support	Oppose	IEs
2026	$10,803	$0	1

Recent (latest 25)

Date	Spender	For / against	Amount	Purpose
2026-04-17	SENATE CONSERVATIVES ACTION	support	$10,803	IE-MITCHELL-DIRECT MAIL PRODUCTION

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2026-03-31	BIG IDEAS CREATE EXCELLENCE PAC	24K	$2,500
2026-03-31	VICTORY AND FREEDOM PAC (VAF PAC)	24K	$5,000
2026-03-31	ANTI-WOKE FUND	24K	$5,000
2026-03-31	ANTI-WOKE FUND	24K	$5,000
2026-03-31	THE SEASONAL EMPLOYER PAC	24K	$2,500
2026-03-31	ULTRA MAGA PAC	24K	$4,000
2026-03-30	GREAT PLAINS PAC	24K	$2,500
2026-03-27	RVFPAC	24K	$2,000
2026-03-26	BRINGING REPUBLICAN EXCELLENCE TO TOWN PAC	24K	$2,500
2026-03-26	ANDY HARRIS FOR CONGRESS	24K	$2,000
2026-03-26	ANDY HARRIS FOR CONGRESS	24K	$2,000
2026-03-25	NRCC	24K	$5,000
2026-03-20	LEADERSHIP AND LOYALTY ONLY TO AMERICA PAC	24K	$2,500
2026-03-19	AMERICAN PRINCIPLES	24K	$1,500
2026-03-18	MIKE KENNEDY FOR UTAH	24K	$2,000
2026-03-18	MIKE KENNEDY FOR UTAH	24K	$1,500
2026-03-18	AMERICAN DREAM DELIVERED	24K	$5,000
2026-03-18	WORKING FOR OHIO	24K	$5,000
2026-03-17	FIRST IN FREEDOM PAC	24K	$5,000
2026-03-17	LEADERSHIP AND LOYALTY ONLY TO AMERICA PAC	24K	$5,000
2026-03-09	INDEPENDENT INSURANCE AGENTS & BROKERS OF AMERI…	24K	$5,000
2026-02-26	TRINITY INDUSTRIES EMPLOYEE POLITICAL ACTION CO…	24K	$-1,000
2026-02-25	SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND	24E	$378
2026-02-25	BUILD POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE OF THE NATIONA…	24K	$5,000
2026-02-24	NATIONAL APARTMENT ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION…	24K	$5,000

Top individual donors (2026 cycle)

Via this candidate's principal committee JOE MITCHELL FOR CONGRESS.

Aggregated from FEC Schedule A by donor (name + city + state). Employer + occupation reflect the donor's most recent gift. Source: FEC indiv bulk.

Donor	Employer / occupation	City, ST	Gifts	Total
PIZZA, JOSEPH M.	PHARMASPHERE INC · CEO	PARAMUS, NJ	1	$1,500
PHILLIPS, CARMELA	RETIRED · RETIRED	CORONA DEL MAR, CA	1	$1,033
BLACKBURN, JEFFREY	SELF-EMPLOYED · MEDTECH	LAGUNA HILLS, CA	1	$1,033
NANCE, JOHN	SELF-EMPLOYED · INVESTMENT PROFESSIONALS	DANA POINT, CA	1	$1,033
VENTRY, GARRETT	GRV · PUBLIC AFFAIRS	ALEXANDRIA, VA	1	$1,000
GABRIELSON, ANDREA	HOMEMAKER · HOMEMAKER	CLEAR LAKE, IA	1	$1,000
HANEY, ROBERT	RETIRED · RETIRED	NORWALK, IA	1	$1,000
MEINTS, JEFF	TITAN PRO · OWNER	CLEAR LAKE, IA	1	$1,000
SHAHOIAN, DAVID	CITIZENS BUSINESS BANK · SVP	DANA POINT, CA	1	$516
MARTIN, LAURY	ADP · SALES	NEWPORT BEACH, CA	1	$516
MARTIN, LORI	RETIRED · RETIRED	NEWPORT BEACH, CA	1	$516
BAKER, BJ	BAKER GROUP · CHAIRMAN	WEST DES MOINES, IA	1	$500
SABIN, DANIEL	RETIRED · RETIRED	CORALVILLE, IA	1	$500
PRYTHERCH, NICHOLAS	MLP · MANAGING PARTNER	CORONA DEL MAR, CA	1	$500
SMURFIT, DERMOT	PAYDIRT GAMES INC · CEO	SAN JUAN CAPISTRAN, CA	1	$500

Connected on the graph

Inbound (59)

date	from	type	amount	source
2026-04-17	SENATE CONSERVATIVES ACTION	supports_independently	$10,803	fec_ies
2026-03-31	ULTRA MAGA PAC	contributed_to	$4,000	pas2
2026-03-31	VICTORY AND FREEDOM PAC (VAF PAC)	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2026-03-31	THE SEASONAL EMPLOYER PAC	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2026-03-31	ANTI-WOKE FUND	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2026-03-31	ANTI-WOKE FUND	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2026-03-31	BIG IDEAS CREATE EXCELLENCE PAC	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2026-03-30	GREAT PLAINS LEADERSHIP FUND	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2026-03-27	RVFPAC	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2026-03-26	ANDY HARRIS FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2026-03-26	ANDY HARRIS FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2026-03-26	BRINGING REPUBLICAN EXCELLENCE TO TOWN PAC	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2026-03-25	NRCC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2026-03-20	LEADERSHIP AND LOYALTY ONLY TO AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2026-03-19	COMMITTEE FOR AMERICAN PRINCIPLES	contributed_to	$1,500	pas2
2026-03-18	MIKE KENNEDY FOR UTAH	contributed_to	$1,500	pas2
2026-03-18	WORKING FOR OHIO	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2026-03-18	AMERICAN DREAM DELIVERED	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2026-03-18	MIKE KENNEDY FOR UTAH	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2026-03-17	LEADERSHIP AND LOYALTY ONLY TO AMERICA PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2026-03-17	FIRST IN FREEDOM PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2026-03-09	INDEPENDENT INSURANCE AGENTS & BROKERS OF AMERICA, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (INSURPAC)	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2026-02-26	TRINITY INDUSTRIES EMPLOYEE POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (SF) INC.	contributed_to	$-1,000	pas2
2026-02-25	BUILD POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE OF THE NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF HOME BUILDERS (BUILDPAC)	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2026-02-25	SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND	contributed_to	$378	pas2
2026-02-24	NATIONAL APARTMENT ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2026-02-23	NATIONAL ELECTRICAL CONTRACTORS ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2026-02-19	SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND	contributed_to	$15	pas2
2026-02-17	FREEDOM FIRST PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2026-02-11	SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND	contributed_to	$19	pas2
2026-02-06	MIKE JOHNSON FOR LOUISIANA	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2026-02-06	AMERICAN REVIVAL PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2026-02-05	SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND	contributed_to	$277	pas2
2026-02-04	SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND	contributed_to	$24	pas2
2026-01-30	RAPTOR PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2026-01-29	MR. SOUTHERN MISSOURIAN IN THE HOUSE PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2026-01-29	MR. SOUTHERN MISSOURIAN IN THE HOUSE PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2026-01-28	SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND	contributed_to	$35	pas2
2026-01-21	SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND	contributed_to	$22	pas2
2026-01-16	THE EYE OF THE TIGER POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2026-01-14	SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND	contributed_to	$8	pas2
2026-01-06	SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND	contributed_to	$48	pas2
2026-01-06	APL PAC	contributed_to	$-2,500	pas2
2026-01-02	RVFPAC	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2025-12-31	REPUBLICANS UNITED TO DEFEND YOU PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2025-12-31	SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND	contributed_to	$18	pas2
2025-12-30	SCONNIE PAC	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2025-12-29	ELECTING MAJORITY MAKING EFFECTIVE REPUBLICANS PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2025-12-29	EMMER FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2025-12-23	SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND	contributed_to	$11	pas2
2025-12-17	SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND	contributed_to	$30	pas2
2025-12-12	TRINITY INDUSTRIES EMPLOYEE POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (SF) INC.	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2025-12-11	BUCKEYE LIBERTY PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2025-12-11	JIM JORDAN FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2025-12-11	JIM JORDAN FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2025-12-07	COMMITTEE FOR AMERICAN PRINCIPLES	contributed_to	$750	pas2
2025-12-03	APL PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2025-11-20	ELECTING MAJORITY MAKING EFFECTIVE REPUBLICANS PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2025-11-20	EMMER FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2

Outbound (1)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	JOE MITCHELL FOR CONGRESS	—		candidate_committees

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