YARMUTH, JOHN

D · house · bioguide Y000062

FEC candidate id: H6KY03124
Internal id: 41137327-1d84-4801-9736-0367a1726401
Status: incumbent

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), KY-03. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	748,522
People	Median age	38
Income	Median household income	$68,047
Income	Per-capita income	$40,938
Income	In poverty	14.8%
Income	Unemployed	5.3%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.478
Race	White alone	62.4%
Race	Black alone	21.4%
Race	Asian alone	3.0%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	8.8%
Race	Two or more races	10.4%
Origin	Foreign-born	10.1%
Language	Speaks English only at home	87.0%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	6.9%
Education	High school or higher	62.3%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	36.0%
Education	Advanced degree	15.0%
Household	Family households	57.2%
Household	Avg household size	2.30
Household	Never married (15+)	37.0%
Housing	Median home value	$239,900
Housing	Median gross rent	$1,147
Housing	Single-family detached	63.2%
Housing	Built before 1940	6.4%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	2.0%
Housing	Vacant units	8.0%
Service	Veterans (18+)	6.2%
Health	With a disability	14.7%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	90.7%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	6.4%
Commute	Drove alone	72.4%
Commute	Public transit	1.6%
Commute	Worked from home	13.8%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2026	$0	$2,051	$32,445	$132,262	$0
2024	$233	$73,405	$34,496	$132,262	$233
2022	$193,814	$255,992	$107,668	$132,262	$84,980
2020	$663,351	$695,281	$169,846	$132,262	$200,442
2018	$955,464	$1,166,943	$201,776	$132,262	$470,260
2016	$690,650	$768,222	$412,694	$132,262	$252,710
2014	$804,484	$833,527	$489,937	$132,262	$295,337
2012	$1,000,849	$725,040	$518,980	$132,262	$504,055
2010	$1,537,401	$1,318,582	$243,170	$132,262	$845,388
2008	$2,136,765	$2,138,463	$24,351	$132,262	$1,453,849
2006	$2,250,300	$2,224,251	$26,050	$708,127	$1,347,241

Elections

2006 general house · KY-3 — won
2008 general house · KY-3 — won
2010 general house · KY-3 — won
2012 general house · KY-3 — won
2014 general house · KY-3 — won
2016 general house · KY-3 — won
2018 general house · KY-3 — won
2020 general house · KY-3 — won
2022 general house · KY-3 — lost_general

Committees

JARED POLIS VICTORY FUND 2012 — joint_fundraising · type N
YARMUTH FOR CONGRESS — principal · type H
YARMUTH VICTORY FUND 2008 — joint_fundraising · type N

Recent votes

No votes on file.

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 99.0%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
incumbent	+78.0%
D (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2022-10-21	MASSACHUSETTS MUTUAL LIFE INSURANCE COMPANY POL…	24K	$-1,000
2022-08-19	THE WILLIAMS COMPANIES, INC. POLITICAL ACTION C…	24K	$-5,000
2022-05-05	THE WILLIAMS COMPANIES, INC. POLITICAL ACTION C…	24K	$5,000
2022-03-09	AMERICAN FEDERATION OF GOVT. EMPL. POLITICAL AC…	24K	$-2,500
2022-01-27	NUCOR CORPORATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	24K	$-3,000
2021-12-17	MASSACHUSETTS MUTUAL LIFE INSURANCE COMPANY POL…	24K	$1,000
2021-11-26	SAZERAC COMPANY, INC. PAC (SAZERACPAC)	24K	$-1,500
2021-11-04	NATIONAL APARTMENT ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION…	24K	$-2,500
2021-10-07	AMERICAN FEDERATION OF GOVT. EMPL. POLITICAL AC…	24K	$2,500
2021-09-30	VERIZON COMMUNICATIONS, INC. POLITICAL ACTION C…	24K	$-2,000
2021-09-30	FMR LLC POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE - FEDERAL (F…	24K	$2,000
2021-09-29	AMERICAN ASSOCIATION FOR JUSTICE POLITICAL ACTI…	24K	$3,000
2021-09-29	COMCAST CORPORATION & NBCUNIVERSAL POLITICAL AC…	24K	$2,500
2021-09-27	PROGRESSIVE TURNOUT PROJECT	24K	$5,000
2021-09-23	NATIONAL THOROUGHBRED RACING ASSOCIATION POLITI…	24K	$2,500
2021-09-23	JSTREETPAC	24K	$1,000
2021-09-22	LOCKHEED MARTIN CORPORATION EMPLOYEES' POLITICA…	24K	$1,000
2021-09-22	AMERICAN ASSOCIATION OF NURSE ANESTHETISTS SEPA…	24K	$2,500
2021-09-22	AIR LINE PILOTS ASSOCIATION PAC	24K	$1,000
2021-09-14	SAZERAC COMPANY, INC. PAC (SAZERACPAC)	24K	$1,500
2021-09-09	AMERICAN ACADEMY OF NEUROLOGY BRAINPAC	24K	$1,000
2021-09-03	NATIONAL APARTMENT ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION…	24K	$2,500
2021-08-31	NATIONAL BEER WHOLESALERS ASSOCIATION POLITICAL…	24K	$2,500
2021-08-13	GOOGLE LLC NETPAC	24K	$1,000
2021-08-04	FORD MOTOR COMPANY CIVIC ACTION FUND	24K	$5,000

Connected on the graph

Inbound (73)

date	from	type	amount	source
2022-10-21	MASSACHUSETTS MUTUAL LIFE INSURANCE COMPANY POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$-1,000	pas2
2022-08-19	THE WILLIAMS COMPANIES, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$-5,000	pas2
2022-05-05	THE WILLIAMS COMPANIES, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-03-09	AMERICAN FEDERATION OF GOVT. EMPL. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$-2,500	pas2
2022-01-27	NUCOR CORPORATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$-3,000	pas2
2021-12-17	MASSACHUSETTS MUTUAL LIFE INSURANCE COMPANY POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2021-11-26	SAZERAC COMPANY, INC. PAC (SAZERACPAC)	contributed_to	$-1,500	pas2
2021-11-04	NATIONAL APARTMENT ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$-2,500	pas2
2021-10-07	AMERICAN FEDERATION OF GOVT. EMPL. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2021-09-30	VERIZON COMMUNICATIONS, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (VERIZON PAC)	contributed_to	$-2,000	pas2
2021-09-30	FMR LLC POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE - FEDERAL (FIDELITY PAC)	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2021-09-29	COMCAST CORPORATION & NBCUNIVERSAL POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE - FEDERAL	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2021-09-29	AMERICAN ASSOCIATION FOR JUSTICE POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (AAJ PAC)	contributed_to	$3,000	pas2
2021-09-27	PROGRESSIVE TURNOUT PROJECT	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2021-09-23	NATIONAL THOROUGHBRED RACING ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE/HORSE PAC	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2021-09-23	JSTREETPAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2021-09-22	AIR LINE PILOTS ASSOCIATION PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2021-09-22	LOCKHEED MARTIN CORPORATION EMPLOYEES' POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2021-09-22	AMERICAN ASSOCIATION OF NURSE ANESTHETISTS SEPARATE SEGREGATED FUND (CRNA-PAC)	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2021-09-14	SAZERAC COMPANY, INC. PAC (SAZERACPAC)	contributed_to	$1,500	pas2
2021-09-09	AMERICAN ACADEMY OF NEUROLOGY BRAINPAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2021-09-03	NATIONAL APARTMENT ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2021-08-31	NATIONAL BEER WHOLESALERS ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2021-08-13	GOOGLE LLC NETPAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2021-08-04	FORD MOTOR COMPANY CIVIC ACTION FUND	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2021-08-04	VILLAGEMD PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2021-08-04	NUCOR CORPORATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2021-08-03	NATIONAL AIR TRAFFIC CONTROLLERS ASSOCIATION PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2021-08-01	ARCONIC CORPORATION EMPLOYEES' VOLUNTARY POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2021-07-27	K&L GATES LLP POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (DC)	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2021-07-26	TOYOTA MOTOR NORTH AMERICA, INC POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (TOYOTA/LEXUS PAC)	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2021-07-13	D.R.I.V.E. - DEM, REP, IND VOTER ED (THE PAC OF THE INT'L BRHD OF TEAMSTERS)	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2021-07-13	AT&T INC. EMPLOYEE FEDERAL POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (AT&T EMPLOYEE FEDERAL PAC)	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2021-06-30	LEAGUE OF CONSERVATION VOTERS ACTION FUND	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2021-06-29	THE CONTINUUM FUND, ZACHRY HOLDINGS, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,500	pas2
2021-06-29	NATIONAL COMMITTEE TO PRESERVE SOCIAL SECURITY & MEDICARE PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2021-06-28	BROWN-FORMAN CORPORATION NON-PARTISAN COMMITTEE FOR RESPONSIBLE GOVERNMENT	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2021-06-25	AMERICAN HOSPITAL ASSOCIATION PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2021-06-24	BACARDI U S A INC POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2021-06-24	AMERICAN ASSOCIATION FOR JUSTICE POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (AAJ PAC)	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2021-06-24	PPL CORPORATION PEOPLE FOR GOOD GOVERNMENT	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2021-06-23	DISTILLED SPIRITS COUNCIL OF THE UNITED STATES INC POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$541	pas2
2021-06-17	INTERNATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF FIREFIGHTERS INTERESTED IN REGISTRATION AND EDUCATION PAC	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2021-06-17	JSTREETPAC	contributed_to	$1,500	pas2
2021-06-14	NATIONAL AIR TRAFFIC CONTROLLERS ASSOCIATION PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2021-06-11	UNITED MINE WORKERS OF AMERICA - COAL MINERS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2021-06-11	PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES	contributed_to	$8	pas2
2021-06-10	SMART TD PAC	contributed_to	$-1,500	pas2
2021-06-10	AMERICAN POSTAL WORKERS UNION COMMITTEE ON POLITICAL ACTION	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2021-06-10	NATIONAL RURAL LETTER CARRIERS' ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2021-06-10	HUMANE WORLD ACTION FUND POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2021-05-24	UNITED MINE WORKERS OF AMERICA - COAL MINERS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2021-05-18	INVESCO HOLDING COMPANY (US), INC. EMPLOYEE POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2021-05-17	INVESCO HOLDING COMPANY (US), INC. EMPLOYEE POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$-1,000	pas2
2021-05-13	INTERNATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF FIREFIGHTERS INTERESTED IN REGISTRATION AND EDUCATION PAC	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2021-04-21	SAZERAC COMPANY, INC. PAC (SAZERACPAC)	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2021-04-07	LEAGUE OF CONSERVATION VOTERS ACTION FUND	contributed_to	$500	pas2
2021-04-01	LOCKHEED MARTIN CORPORATION EMPLOYEES' POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$-5,000	pas2
2021-04-01	INGRAM BARGE COMPANY POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2021-03-31	AMERICAN ASSOCIATION FOR JUSTICE POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (AAJ PAC)	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2021-03-30	INTERNATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF SHEET METAL, AIR, RAIL AND TRANSPORTATION WORKERS POLITICAL ACTION LEAGUE	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2021-03-30	NUCOR CORPORATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2021-03-26	UNITED MINE WORKERS OF AMERICA - COAL MINERS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2021-03-26	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2021-03-24	NATIONAL THOROUGHBRED RACING ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE/HORSE PAC	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2021-03-24	AMERICAN FEDERATION OF TEACHERS, AFL-CIO COMMITTEE ON POLITICAL EDUCATION	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2021-03-19	NATIONAL ACTIVE AND RETIRED FEDERAL EMPLOYEES ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COM (NARFE-PAC)	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2021-03-12	AMERICAN HOSPITAL ASSOCIATION PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2021-03-11	NEA FUND FOR CHILDREN AND PUBLIC EDUCATION	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2021-03-11	NATIONAL AIR TRAFFIC CONTROLLERS ASSOCIATION PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2021-03-11	NATIONAL COMMITTEE TO PRESERVE SOCIAL SECURITY & MEDICARE PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2021-03-11	INVESCO HOLDING COMPANY (US), INC. EMPLOYEE POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2021-03-08	AMERICAN FEDERATION OF STATE COUNTY & MUNICIPAL EMPLOYEES P E O P L E	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2

Outbound (3)

date	type	to	amount	source
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	JARED POLIS VICTORY FUND 2012	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	YARMUTH VICTORY FUND 2008	—	candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	YARMUTH FOR CONGRESS	—	candidate_committees

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