EASLEY, JOHN JR

canonical · easley/john/jr · 1 alias · 0 outbound · 0 inbound

FEC candidate — EASLEY, JOHN JR

R · senate · challenger · FEC S0VA00161

Elections (5)

2020 general senate · VA-S — lost_general
2020 general senate · VA-S — lost_general
2020 general senate · VA-S — lost_general
2020 general senate · VA-S — lost_general
2020 general senate · VA-S — lost_general

Committees (0)

No committees on file.

Election prediction

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 23.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
R (major party)	+10.0%
senate race	-2.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures for/against

Coordinated party expenditures

Committee assignments

Congressional staff (offices this person hires)

STOCK Act trades

Timeline

Aliases (1)

source	id	name at source	jurisdiction	confidence	linked by	linked at
fec	S0VA00161	EASLEY, JOHN JR	US	bronze	backfill_0028	2026-05-17

News clips about this person

Mentioned in /ask threads

Canonical: https://pac.dog/persons/7634441e-c095-4aca-9c2c-366f271168ae

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