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GARDNER, ARTHUR AUGUSTINE

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canonical Β· gardner/arthur Β· 1 alias Β· 1 outbound Β· 0 inbound

FEC candidate β€” GARDNER, ARTHUR AUGUSTINE

R Β· senate Β· open seat Β· FEC S4GA11301

Cycle financials (1)

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

CycleRaisedSpentCash on handDebtsIndiv. contribs.
2014$102,796$102,652$2,202$0$100,196
Elections (5)
  • 2014 general senate Β· GA-S β€” lost_general
  • 2014 general senate Β· GA-S β€” lost_general
  • 2014 general senate Β· GA-S β€” lost_general
  • 2014 general senate Β· GA-S β€” lost_general
  • 2014 general senate Β· GA-S β€” lost_general
Committees (1)
Election prediction

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 18.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
R (major party)+10.0%
open seat-5.0%
senate race-2.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures for/against
Coordinated party expenditures
Top individual donors β€” ART GARDNER 2014
Committee assignments
Congressional staff (offices this person hires)
STOCK Act trades
Timeline

Every typed-graph event involving this entity, newest first. Each row is one edge in the influence graph; the inline strip under the row shows the counterpart's own context (a bill's latest action, a hearing's chamber + date, a filing's form type + filed date, a clip's source + excerpt) so the timeline reads like a Wikipedia citation rail.

  1. 2026-05-17 Β· is the candidate's principal committee ART GARDNER 2014 Β· candidate_committees

Connected on the graph

1 typed relationship in the influence graph β€” 0 inbound, 1 outbound, grouped by type.

principal candidate of (1)
datedirentityamountrolesource
β€”β†’ART GARDNER 2014β€”candidate_committees
Aliases (1)
sourceidname at sourcejurisdictionconfidencelinked bylinked at
fecS4GA11301GARDNER, ARTHUR AUGUSTINEUSbronzebackfill_0028
News clips about this person
Mentioned in /ask threads

Canonical: https://pac.dog/persons/ef8dbac3-c537-4174-9304-ad922904bb9f

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