ONDER, ROBERT FOR JR.
R · house · currently seated · bioguide O000177
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- FEC candidate id
H4MO03221- Internal id
855fdc1b-6726-4782-94e0-8af87690a055- Status
- incumbent
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), MO-03. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 780,389 |
| People | Median age | 39 |
| Income | Median household income | $81,928 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $42,523 |
| Income | In poverty | 9.9% |
| Income | Unemployed | 3.4% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.440 |
| Race | White alone | 85.5% |
| Race | Black alone | 4.7% |
| Race | Asian alone | 2.2% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 3.6% |
| Race | Two or more races | 6.2% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 3.5% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 95.0% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 1.8% |
| Education | High school or higher | 64.2% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 35.5% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 13.6% |
| Household | Family households | 65.4% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.45 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 30.2% |
| Housing | Median home value | $268,300 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,045 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 71.7% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 2.0% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.2% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 10.9% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 7.1% |
| Health | With a disability | 13.7% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 91.0% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 6.3% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 76.2% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.3% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 12.7% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $656,775 | $439,795 | $367,424 | $894,000 | $339,748 |
| 2024 | $1,778,242 | $1,627,798 | $150,444 | $900,000 | $654,650 |
Elections
Committees
- ONDER FOR CONGRESS — principal · type H
Recent votes
- 2026-05-15 · Cong. 119 · house roll 175
YEA on HR 8469 — Making appropriations for military construction, the Department of Veterans Affairs, and related agencies for the fiscal year ending September 30, 2027, and for other purposes. - 2026-05-15 · Cong. 119 · house roll 174
YEA on HR 8469 — Making appropriations for military construction, the Department of Veterans Affairs, and related agencies for the fiscal year ending September 30, 2027, and for other purposes. - 2026-05-14 · Cong. 119 · house roll 173
YEA on HR 8365 — Monitor Accountability Act - 2026-05-14 · Cong. 119 · house roll 172
NAY on HR 8365 — Monitor Accountability Act - 2026-05-14 · Cong. 119 · house roll 171
YEA on HR 5625 — Cashless Bail Reporting Act - 2026-05-14 · Cong. 119 · house roll 170
NAY on HCONRES 75 — Directing the President, pursuant to section 5(c) of the War Powers Resolution, to remove the United States Armed Forces from hostilities against the Islamic Republic of Iran. - 2026-05-14 · Cong. 119 · house roll 169
YEA on HR 6260 — Keeping Violent Offenders Off Our Streets Act of 2025 - 2026-05-14 · Cong. 119 · house roll 168
NAY on HR 6260 — Keeping Violent Offenders Off Our Streets Act of 2025 - 2026-05-13 · Cong. 119 · house roll 167
YEA on HRES 1259 — Expressing the sense of the House of Representatives that the President should prioritize securing the release of Pastor Jin Mingri, Pastor Gao Quanfu and his wife Pang Yu, Dr. Gulshan Abbas, and Jimmy Lai detained by the People's Republic of China during future engagements with Chinese President Xi Jinping. - 2026-05-13 · Cong. 119 · house roll 166
YEA on HRES 1251 — Calling on elected officials and civil society leaders to counter antisemitism and educate the public on the contributions of the Jewish-American community.
Sponsored & cosponsored bills
- sponsor · 2026-02-26 — HR 7722 — Child Care Integrity Monitoring Act of 2026
- sponsor · 2026-02-23 — HR 7651 — Chloe Cole Act of 2026
- sponsor · 2026-02-12 — HR 7554 — CARBON Act
- cosponsor · 2026-01-30 — HR 5267 — American Franchise Act
- sponsor · 2025-11-20 — HR 6222 — ROTOR Act
- sponsor · 2025-11-19 — HR 6156 — Endorsement Transparency Act
- sponsor · 2025-09-18 — HR 5483 — Chloe Cole Act
- sponsor · 2025-07-23 — HR 4715 — MEGA Act of 2025
- sponsor · 2025-07-17 — HR 4523 — To make technical amendments to title 49, United States Code, as necessary to improve the Code.
- sponsor · 2025-06-25 — HR 4146 — PAPA Act of 2025
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 99.0%
| Feature | Δ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| incumbent | +78.0% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $1,696,435 | $3,738,244 | 89 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | NATIONAL INTEREST PAC | oppose | $15,237 | IE-Onder_Media Production |
| 2024-08-09 | NATIONAL INTEREST ACTION INC | oppose | $24,990 | IE-Oncer-Digital Ads |
| 2024-08-06 | MISSOURI CONSERVATIVES FOR CONGRESS PAC | oppose | $4,424 | TEXT MESSAGES |
| 2024-08-03 | MISSOURI CONSERVATIVES FOR CONGRESS PAC | oppose | $437 | DIGITAL MEDIA PLACEMENT |
| 2024-08-03 | MISSOURI CONSERVATIVES FOR CONGRESS PAC | oppose | $3,120 | IN-KIND OFFSET: MEDIA PRODUCTION |
| 2024-08-03 | MISSOURI CONSERVATIVES FOR CONGRESS PAC | oppose | $9,925 | MEDIA PLACEMENT |
| 2024-08-03 | MISSOURI CONSERVATIVES FOR CONGRESS PAC | oppose | $24,536 | RADIO PRODUCTION / RADIO PLACEMENT |
| 2024-08-01 | NATIONAL INTEREST ACTION INC | oppose | $108,750 | IE-Onder-Media Buy |
| 2024-08-01 | NATIONAL INTEREST ACTION INC | oppose | $83,021 | IE-Onder-Mail |
| 2024-08-01 | NATIONAL INTEREST ACTION INC | oppose | $51,342 | IE-Onder-Direct Mail |
| 2024-08-01 | NATIONAL INTEREST ACTION INC | oppose | $51,342 | IE-Onder-Direct Mail |
| 2024-08-01 | NATIONAL INTEREST ACTION INC | oppose | $108,750 | IE-Onder-Media Buy |
| 2024-07-31 | CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION | support | $2,000 | Digital ad placement |
| 2024-07-31 | CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION | support | $99 | Digital ad costs (from advance line 21) |
| 2024-07-31 | NATIONAL INTEREST ACTION INC | oppose | $90,435 | IE-Onder-Direct Mail |
| 2024-07-30 | HOUSE FREEDOM ACTION | support | $10,001 | IE- ONDER- DIGITAL MARKETING |
| 2024-07-29 | HOUSE FREEDOM ACTION | support | $1,300 | IE- OGLES- DIGITAL MARKETING- DIGITAL MARKETING |
| 2024-07-29 | CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION | support | $125 | ad production (from advance line 21) |
| 2024-07-29 | DEFEND AMERICAN JOBS | support | $250,998 | IE-Onder-Media Buy |
| 2024-07-29 | AMERICA LEADS ACTION INC. | oppose | $2,657 | SMS MESSAGING |
| 2024-07-29 | DEFEND AMERICAN JOBS | support | $6,697 | IE-Onder-Media Production |
| 2024-07-29 | AMERICA LEADS ACTION INC. | oppose | $2,147 | SMS MESSAGING |
| 2024-07-29 | WIN IT BACK PAC | support | $10 | Radio ad costs (from advance line 21) |
| 2024-07-25 | CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION | support | $384,950 | TV ad placement |
| 2024-07-25 | CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION | support | $2,748 | ad production |
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
Top individual donors (2026 cycle)
Via this candidate's principal committee ONDER FOR CONGRESS.
Aggregated from FEC Schedule A by donor (name + city + state). Employer + occupation reflect the donor's most recent gift. Source: FEC indiv bulk.
| Donor | Employer / occupation | City, ST | Gifts | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DUBUSKE, LAWRENCE | AAFTC · PHYSICIAN | NEWTON, MA | 2 | $1,561 |
| SUBLETT, JAMES L. | FAMILY ALLERGY ASTHMA · ALLERGIST | LOUISVILLE, KY | 1 | $1,041 |
| SMEAD, LARRY | SASCO · CEO | ESSEX, NY | 1 | $1,000 |
| SANVI, JENNY | RETIRED · RETIRED | SALEM, OR | 1 | $495 |
| FORESTER, JOSEPH | ALLERVIE HEALTH · ALLERGIST | NICEVILLE, FL | 1 | $260 |
| GROSS, GARY | PRC · ALLERGIST | DALLAS, TX | 1 | $250 |
| DANZY, RUSSELL | RETIRED · RETIRED | PROVENCAL, LA | 9 | $181 |
| WHORLEY, BRIAN | PAYTIENT · CEO | COLUMBIA, MO | 1 | $52 |
| ALBERS, GREGG | RETIRED · RETIRED | MADISON HEIGHTS, VA | 2 | $40 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (100)
Outbound (100)
Clips (1)
Quotes, press releases, and Congressional Record fragments where this entity is the subject. Source: govinfo.gov BILLSTATUS + per-source ingest pipelines.
| Date | Source | Speaker | Headline |
|---|---|---|---|
| — | Congressional Record | — | RECOGNIZING IMMANUEL EAGLES BOYS' BASKETBALL TEAM |